Pirates78 – 77vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Cincinnati Reds	C	B	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+118+1.5 (-172)

CIN-142-1.5 (+142)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/1/26	@ CIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 8
7/31/26	@ CIN	L 7–8	L -1.5	O 8
7/30/26	@ CIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 10
7/29/26	vs ARI	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
7/28/26	vs ARI	L 7–8	W +1.5	O 9
7/27/26	vs ARI	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 9.5
7/26/26	vs CHC	W 8–7	L -1.5	O 9
7/25/26	vs CHC	L 0–11	L -1.5	O 7.5
7/24/26	vs CHC	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8
7/22/26	@ NYY	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/1/26	vs PIT	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 8
7/31/26	vs PIT	W 8–7	W +1.5	O 8
7/30/26	vs PIT	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 10
7/29/26	vs CLE	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
7/28/26	vs CLE	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 9
7/28/26	vs CLE	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 9
7/26/26	@ STL	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
7/25/26	@ STL	L 0–7	L -1.5	U 8
7/24/26	@ STL	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8
7/22/26	@ SEA	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed

RedsChase BurnsConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

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