Mets71 – 84vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
New York Mets	B	B-	B-
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYM+119+1.5 (-181)

PIT-128-1.5 (+149)

Total 8.5Over -103Under -116

Recent form

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/6/26	@ CLE	W 13–6	W +1.5	O 7
8/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/4/26	@ CLE	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/2/26	vs MIA	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/1/26	vs MIA	L 2–6	L -1.5	U 9
7/31/26	vs MIA	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
7/30/26	vs MIA	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7
7/29/26	vs ATL	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
7/29/26	vs ATL	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
7/27/26	vs ATL	W 14–3	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/6/26	@ MIL	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/5/26	@ MIL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7
8/4/26	@ MIL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/3/26	@ MIL	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/2/26	@ CIN	L 2–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/1/26	@ CIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 8
7/31/26	@ CIN	L 7–8	L -1.5	O 8
7/30/26	@ CIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 10
7/29/26	vs ARI	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
7/28/26	vs ARI	L 7–8	W +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

MetsZac ThorntonConfirmed

PiratesCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed

New York MetsConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

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