Red Sox84 – 71vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Boston Red Sox	B-	A-	B
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS-119-1.5 (+148)

PIT+111+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/14/26	@ PIT	L 4–8	L -1.5	O 8
8/13/26	@ TOR	W 7–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/12/26	@ TOR	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 7
8/11/26	@ TOR	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 6.5
8/10/26	@ TOR	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8
8/9/26	vs ATH	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 9
8/8/26	vs ATH	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 9
8/7/26	vs ATH	W 13–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/6/26	vs CHW	W 12–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/5/26	vs CHW	W 4–0	W -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/14/26	vs BOS	W 8–4	W +1.5	O 8
8/13/26	@ MIA	W 13–1	W -1.5	O 8
8/12/26	@ MIA	L 2–8	L +1.5	O 8
8/11/26	@ MIA	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 7
8/9/26	vs NYM	L 1–11	L -1.5	O 8
8/8/26	vs NYM	W 9–0	W -1.5	P 9
8/7/26	vs NYM	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/6/26	@ MIL	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/5/26	@ MIL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7
8/4/26	@ MIL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

Red SoxSonny GrayConfirmed

PiratesJared JonesConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.