MLB matchup

08/26/20261:10 PMComerica ParkDetroit, MI78°F · Intermittent clouds

Rays94 – 60vsTigers73 – 82

Sharp side

✈️ Rays +108

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Tampa Bay Rays	4.0	50.5%
Detroit Tigers	3.9	49.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Tampa Bay Rays	B	B+	B+
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+108+1.5 (-206)

DET-116-1.5 (+168)

Total 7.5Over -106Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB-102-1.5 (+165)

DET-118+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+102+1.5 (-215)

DET-122-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over +102Under -125

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+110-1.5 (+159)

DET-121+1.5 (-224)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+104-1.5 (+165)

DET-114+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+100+1.5 (-205)

DET-120-1.5 (+165)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+104-1.5 (+176)

DET-114+1.5 (-215)

Total 7.5Over -102Under -120

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+105-1.5 (+185)

DET-115+1.5 (-195)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TB+102-1.5 (+170)

DET-115+1.5 (-215)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	@ DET	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 8
8/24/26	@ DET	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	@ BAL	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	@ BAL	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/21/26	@ BAL	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/20/26	vs TOR	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	vs TOR	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 7
8/18/26	vs TOR	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/17/26	vs BAL	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	vs BAL	L 2–10	L -1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Tigers

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	vs TB	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 8
8/24/26	vs TB	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	@ KC	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	@ KC	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/21/26	@ KC	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 8
8/19/26	@ PIT	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/18/26	@ PIT	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 8
8/17/26	@ PIT	W 8–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/16/26	vs CHW	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8
8/15/26	vs CHW	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rays and Tigers
	Statistic
N/A (8.7)	Hits	N/A (8.1)
N/A (1.4)	Doubles	N/A (1.5)
N/A (1.0)	Home Runs	N/A (1.1)
N/A (13.5)	Total Bases	N/A (13.3)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (3.6)
N/A (7.1)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.9)
N/A (1.0)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RaysFreddy PeraltaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16261.8%Under+12145.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-10250.5%Under-12555.6%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%

TigersTroy MeltonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+13642.4%Under-17463.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

Starting lineups

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed

1Yandy DiazDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterYandy Diaz+12807.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
2Jonathan Aranda1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJonathan Aranda+90010.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23470.1%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24370.8%
3Junior Caminero3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJunior Caminero+58214.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
4Liam HicksC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLiam Hicks+16605.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
5Chandler SimpsonLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterChandler Simpson+51001.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59185.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-25571.8%Under+18834.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54684.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52183.9%
6Jonny DeLucaRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJonny DeLuca+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49316.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-36978.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59214.5%Under-99090.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48282.8%
7Richie Palacios2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRichie Palacios+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59314.4%Under-99090.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
8Jorge MateoSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJorge Mateo+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29025.6%Under-43081.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28974.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32623.5%Under-48983.0%
9Cedric MullinsCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCedric Mullins+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49316.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38779.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55015.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Brett CallahanLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Callahan+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38479.3%
2Kevin McGonigleSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
3Gleyber Torres2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGleyber Torres+16405.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11408.1%Under-240096.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
4Colt KeithDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterColt Keith+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+14206.6%Under-330097.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25471.8%
5Dillon DinglerC
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDillon Dingler+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48182.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+17205.5%Under-430097.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
6Zach McKinstryRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZach McKinstry+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49516.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
7Spencer Torkelson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Torkelson+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
8Max ClarkCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51516.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25428.2%Under-36978.7%
9Hao-Yu Lee3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHao-Yu Lee+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+13007.1%Under-280096.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%

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