MLB matchup

08/26/20263:40 PMChase FieldPhoenix, AZ

Cubs86 – 69vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side

✈️ Cubs -110

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago Cubs	4.6	57.6%
Arizona Diamondbacks	3.8	42.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago Cubs	A-	A-	A-
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	C+	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-110-1.5 (+139)

ARI+103+1.5 (-168)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -119

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-120-1.5 (+140)

ARI+100+1.5 (-170)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-114-1.5 (+143)

ARI+100+1.5 (-177)

Total 8.0Over -117Under -103

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-115-1.5 (+140)

ARI+105+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-116-1.5 (+145)

ARI+106+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-120-1.5 (+140)

ARI+100+1.5 (-170)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-116-1.5 (+142)

ARI+106+1.5 (-172)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -122

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-115-1.5 (+140)

ARI+105+1.5 (-150)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-120-1.5 (+145)

ARI+107+1.5 (-175)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago Cubs

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	@ ARI	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/24/26	@ ARI	W 7–0	W -1.5	U 9
8/23/26	@ SEA	W 19–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/22/26	@ SEA	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/21/26	@ SEA	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/19/26	vs CHW	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/18/26	vs CHW	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
8/17/26	vs CHW	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8
8/16/26	vs STL	L 4–11	L -1.5	O 9
8/15/26	vs STL	L 4–8	L -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	vs CHC	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/24/26	vs CHC	L 0–7	L +1.5	U 9
8/23/26	vs CIN	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	vs CIN	L 5–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/21/26	vs CIN	W 9–0	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/19/26	@ BOS	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	@ BOS	L 4–9	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/17/26	@ BOS	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 9
8/16/26	@ ATL	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 9
8/15/26	@ ATL	W 10–3	W +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Cubs and Diamondbacks
	Statistic
N/A (8.5)	Hits	N/A (8.2)
N/A (1.6)	Doubles	N/A (1.7)
N/A (1.4)	Home Runs	N/A (1.0)
N/A (14.7)	Total Bases	N/A (13.3)
N/A (4.1)	Walks	N/A (3.3)
N/A (8.4)	Strikeouts	N/A (7.5)
N/A (0.7)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

CubsMatthew BoydConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10250.5%Under-13156.7%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-14959.8%Under+11746.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%

DiamondbacksEduardo RodriguezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+13043.5%Under-16762.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Starting lineups

Chicago CubsConfirmed

1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Crow-Armstrong+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25671.9%Under+18934.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
2Seiya SuzukiRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSeiya Suzuki+72012.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45582.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24571.0%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16462.1%
3Alex BregmanDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Bregman+11807.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48182.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16637.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
4Michael Busch1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Busch+12607.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
5Nico HoernerSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterNico Hoerner+25003.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46382.2%
Total Hits1.5Over+17836.0%Under-24170.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17964.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31823.9%Under-47682.6%
6Tyrone TaylorLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTyrone Taylor+15006.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55984.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
7Pedro Ramirez3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPedro Ramirez+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14940.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59285.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-198095.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36878.6%
8Carson KellyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Kelly+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
9Gabriel Arias2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGabriel Arias+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44281.5%

Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed

1Ildemaro Vargas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIldemaro Vargas+15206.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+19234.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11047.6%
2Corbin CarrollRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCorbin Carroll+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42581.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+47017.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
3Geraldo PerdomoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeraldo Perdomo+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42419.1%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
4Nolan ArenadoDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNolan Arenado+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33722.9%Under-50883.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
5Tim Tawa1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTim Tawa+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34622.4%Under-52484.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
6Jose Fernandez3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Fernandez+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35578.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
7James McCannC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJames McCann+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
8Jordan LawlarCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Lawlar+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38179.2%
9Ryan WaldschmidtLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRyan Waldschmidt+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49216.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39479.8%

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