MLB matchup

08/26/20266:45 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC84°F · Partly sunny

Rockies57 – 98vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

🏠 Nationals -129

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Rockies	3.9	28.5%
Washington Nationals	6.1	71.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Colorado Rockies	F	F	F
Washington Nationals	C	B-	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+121+1.5 (-180)

WSH-129-1.5 (+148)

Total 9.0Over -110Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+115+1.5 (-190)

WSH-140-1.5 (+154)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+118+1.5 (-175)

WSH-141-1.5 (+143)

Total 9.0Over -118Under -121

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+120+1.5 (-178)

WSH-130-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+124+1.5 (-168)

WSH-134-1.5 (+148)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+115+1.5 (-180)

WSH-140-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+122+1.5 (-188)

WSH-132-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -124Under +102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+120+1.5 (-195)

WSH-130-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+121+1.5 (-180)

WSH-136-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -130Under +110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Rockies

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	@ WSH	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/24/26	@ WSH	L 3–13	L +1.5	O 8
8/23/26	vs CLE	L 2–7	L +1.5	U 11
8/22/26	vs CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 11
8/21/26	vs CLE	L 1–9	L +1.5	U 10.5
8/19/26	vs LAD	L 4–6	L +1.5	U 11.5
8/18/26	vs LAD	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 11.5
8/17/26	vs LAD	L 5–11	L +1.5	O 11
8/16/26	@ SF	W 13–7	W +1.5	O 8
8/15/26	@ SF	L 1–7	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	vs COL	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/24/26	vs COL	W 13–3	W -1.5	O 8
8/23/26	@ MIA	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
8/22/26	@ MIA	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/21/26	@ MIA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/20/26	@ TEX	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ TEX	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/18/26	@ TEX	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/16/26	@ NYM	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/15/26	@ NYM	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockies and Nationals
	Statistic
N/A (8.5)	Hits	N/A (8.4)
N/A (1.7)	Doubles	N/A (1.7)
N/A (1.1)	Home Runs	N/A (1.3)
N/A (14.0)	Total Bases	N/A (14.5)
N/A (3.1)	Walks	N/A (3.4)
N/A (8.8)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.5)
N/A (0.7)	Stolen Bases	N/A (1.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RockiesTanner GordonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13557.4%Under+10648.5%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%

NationalsMatt WaldronConfirmed

Starting lineups

Colorado RockiesConfirmed

1Jake McCarthyLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake McCarthy+13806.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32523.5%Under-48783.0%
Total Hits1.5Over+18135.6%Under-24571.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16061.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38779.5%
2Cole CarriggCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Carrigg+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
3Hunter GoodmanC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHunter Goodman+61014.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
4TJ Rumfield1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTJ Rumfield+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48582.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
5Willi Castro3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterWilli Castro+13406.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37221.2%Under-57085.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28373.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-142093.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
6Mickey MoniakRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMickey Moniak+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+12607.4%Under-270096.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43881.4%
7Connor Norby2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterConnor Norby+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35578.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-28974.3%
8Troy JohnstonDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTroy Johnston+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39679.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40480.2%
9Ezequiel TovarSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Tovar+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46082.1%

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1CJ AbramsDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+72012.2%
Total Bases1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47182.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+17536.4%Under-23770.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50283.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
2Abimelec Ortiz1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAbimelec Ortiz+86010.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
3Dylan CrewsRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+9809.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51383.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-26672.7%Under+19533.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51016.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
4Daylen LileLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41280.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+19833.6%Under-27073.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21167.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-154093.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48582.9%
5Andres Chaparro3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Chaparro+88010.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35522.0%Under-53984.4%
6Jose Tena2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Tena+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52183.9%
7Harry FordC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHarry Ford+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46282.2%
8Nasim NunezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNasim Nunez+31003.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43681.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37378.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47082.5%
9Jacob YoungCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+41019.6%Under-64086.5%

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