MLB matchup

08/26/20267:05 PMYankee StadiumBronx, NY77°F · Mostly sunny

Astros77 – 78vsYankees89 – 65

Sharp side

🏠 Yankees -118

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Houston Astros	4.1	40.1%
New York Yankees	5.0	59.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Houston Astros	B	C	B-
New York Yankees	B	B+	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+110+1.5 (-198)

NYY-118-1.5 (+162)

Total 9.0Over +102Under -122

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+105-1.5 (+165)

NYY-125+1.5 (-200)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+110+1.5 (-210)

NYY-124-1.5 (+163)

Total 9.0Over +102Under -122

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+110+1.5 (-195)

NYY-121-1.5 (+162)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+107-1.5 (+165)

NYY-117+1.5 (-190)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+105+1.5 (-200)

NYY-125-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+110+1.5 (-196)

NYY-118-1.5 (+162)

Total 8.5Over -124Under +102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+110+1.5 (-185)

NYY-120-1.5 (+175)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+107+1.5 (-200)

NYY-120-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Houston Astros

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	@ NYY	W 9–7	W +1.5	O 9
8/23/26	vs ATH	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	vs ATH	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8
8/21/26	vs ATH	W 4–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/20/26	vs LAA	L 3–18	L -1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs LAA	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/18/26	vs LAA	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 9
8/16/26	vs SEA	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8
8/15/26	vs SEA	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/14/26	vs SEA	W 10–7	W -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Yankees

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	vs HOU	L 7–9	L -1.5	O 9
8/23/26	vs TOR	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 8
8/22/26	vs TOR	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
8/21/26	vs TOR	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7
8/20/26	@ BAL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ BAL	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9
8/18/26	@ BAL	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/16/26	@ TOR	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
8/15/26	@ TOR	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 7
8/14/26	@ TOR	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Astros and Yankees
	Statistic
N/A (8.0)	Hits	N/A (7.9)
N/A (1.5)	Doubles	N/A (1.4)
N/A (1.3)	Home Runs	N/A (1.4)
N/A (13.8)	Total Bases	N/A (13.6)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (3.6)
N/A (8.2)	Strikeouts	N/A (9.2)
N/A (0.3)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AstrosPeter LambertConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12444.6%Under-15961.4%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%

YankeesElmer RodriguezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13156.7%Under+10349.3%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%

Starting lineups

Houston AstrosConfirmed

1Jeremy PenaSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJeremy Pena+13406.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-26472.5%Under+19434.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11147.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%
2Yordan AlvarezDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterYordan Alvarez+52216.1%
Total Bases1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58185.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11446.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-22469.1%Under+15938.6%
3Isaac Paredes3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterIsaac Paredes+12407.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
4Jose Altuve2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Altuve+18405.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-168094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31175.7%
5Daulton VarshoCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDaulton Varsho+12607.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
6Christian Walker1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Walker+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26972.9%
7Taylor TrammellLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTaylor Trammell+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
8Cam SmithRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCam Smith+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52616.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
9Christian VazquezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Vazquez+32003.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55984.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44781.7%

New York YankeesConfirmed

1Trent GrishamCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTrent Grisham+77011.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12655.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
2Ben RiceDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Rice+75011.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49783.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15360.5%
3Luis Garcia Jr.1B
4Cody BellingerLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Bellinger+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38020.8%Under-58485.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
5George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Lombard Jr.+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
6Spencer JonesRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Jones+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37221.2%Under-56985.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58214.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
7Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJazz Chisholm Jr.+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48783.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20667.3%
8Austin WellsC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Wells+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
9Jose Caballero3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Caballero+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57514.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%

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