MLB matchup

08/26/20267:07 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Royals67 – 88vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side

🏠 Blue Jays -157

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Kansas City Royals	3.6	38.7%
Toronto Blue Jays	4.7	61.3%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Kansas City Royals	C	C-	C-
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+146+1.5 (-157)

TOR-157-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+135+1.5 (-160)

TOR-160-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+143+1.5 (-157)

TOR-167-1.5 (+128)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -115

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+140+1.5 (-160)

TOR-150-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+140+1.5 (-155)

TOR-151-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+130+1.5 (-165)

TOR-155-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+138+1.5 (-164)

TOR-148-1.5 (+136)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+140+1.5 (-150)

TOR-150-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+137+1.5 (-165)

TOR-155-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Kansas City Royals

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun line9–1–0W–L–PO/U3–5–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	@ TOR	W 5–3	W +1.5	P 8
8/23/26	vs DET	W 11–7	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	vs DET	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/21/26	vs DET	W 5–2	W +1.5	U 8
8/20/26	vs ATH	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
8/19/26	vs ATH	W 9–7	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	vs ATH	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
8/17/26	vs ATH	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 9
8/16/26	@ LAA	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/15/26	@ LAA	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	vs KC	L 3–5	L -1.5	P 8
8/23/26	@ NYY	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 8
8/22/26	@ NYY	W 4–3	L -1.5	O 6.5
8/21/26	@ NYY	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7
8/20/26	@ TB	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ TB	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 7
8/18/26	@ TB	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	vs NYY	L 3–4	L -1.5	O 6.5
8/15/26	vs NYY	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 7
8/14/26	vs NYY	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Royals and Blue Jays
	Statistic
N/A (8.2)	Hits	N/A (8.5)
N/A (1.8)	Doubles	N/A (1.6)
N/A (1.0)	Home Runs	N/A (1.0)
N/A (13.4)	Total Bases	N/A (13.4)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (2.9)
N/A (7.8)	Strikeouts	N/A (7.1)
N/A (0.8)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RoyalsRandy DobnakConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-11954.3%Under-10751.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%

Blue JaysSpencer MilesConfirmed

Starting lineups

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

1Carter JensenC
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCarter Jensen+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34822.3%Under-52784.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11008.3%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
2Bobby Witt Jr.SS
Player props11 markets
First Home Run HitterBobby Witt Jr.+84010.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56084.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-26772.8%
Total Hits1.5Over-27173.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
3Jac CaglianoneRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJac Caglianone+79011.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-24971.3%
4Salvador PerezDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSalvador Perez+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46582.3%
5Vinnie Pasquantino1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVinnie Pasquantino+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22869.5%
6Nick Loftin3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Loftin+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49883.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
7John RaveLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Rave+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44881.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23970.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40120.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
8Tyler Tolbert2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Tolbert+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52116.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44681.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%
9Kyle IsbelCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Isbel+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57714.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13542.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43681.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48783.0%

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Bateman+26003.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32623.5%Under-49083.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-26972.9%Under+19733.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11346.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-142093.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+18834.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14859.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-186094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
3Alejandro KirkC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlejandro Kirk+16005.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24871.3%Under+18335.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
4George SpringerDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
5Jesus SanchezLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJesus Sanchez+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34822.3%Under-52884.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19165.6%Under+14341.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
6Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+80011.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-19265.8%Under+14341.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
7Nathan LukesRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Lukes+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
8Ernie Clement2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterErnie Clement+27003.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39820.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30375.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16161.7%Under+11746.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44081.5%
9Andres GimenezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Gimenez+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55015.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%

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