MLB matchup

08/26/20267:10 PMCiti FieldQueens, NY76°F · Mostly sunny

Brewers97 – 58vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

🏠 Mets +144

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	4.6	53.9%
New York Mets	4.2	46.1%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	B-	B
New York Mets	B	C	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-154-1.5 (+103)

NYM+144+1.5 (-124)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-160-1.5 (+110)

NYM+135+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-159-1.5 (+102)

NYM+138+1.5 (-122)

Total 8.5Over -103Under -118

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-145-1.5 (+110)

NYM+135+1.5 (-130)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-147-1.5 (+112)

NYM+137+1.5 (-132)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-155-1.5 (+105)

NYM+130+1.5 (-125)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-148-1.5 (+110)

NYM+138+1.5 (-132)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -120

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-150-1.5 (+115)

NYM+140+1.5 (-125)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-155-1.5 (+115)

NYM+137+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	@ NYM	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	vs ATL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
8/22/26	vs ATL	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 8
8/21/26	vs ATL	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 6
8/20/26	vs SEA	W 7–4	W -1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs SEA	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/18/26	vs SEA	W 22–0	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	@ LAD	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/15/26	@ LAD	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/14/26	@ LAD	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Mets

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/25/26	vs MIL	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	@ CHW	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	@ CHW	W 10–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/21/26	@ CHW	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs SD	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/18/26	vs SD	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/17/26	vs SD	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/16/26	vs WSH	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/15/26	vs WSH	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/14/26	vs WSH	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Mets
	Statistic
N/A (8.6)	Hits	N/A (8.0)
N/A (1.7)	Doubles	N/A (1.3)
N/A (0.9)	Home Runs	N/A (1.2)
N/A (13.4)	Total Bases	N/A (13.3)
N/A (4.1)	Walks	N/A (3.2)
N/A (8.4)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.4)
N/A (1.0)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersDustin MayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-13657.6%Under+10648.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

MetsRobert StockConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%

Total Outs Recorded13.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12843.9%Under-16462.1%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Sal FrelickLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Frelick+15206.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35621.9%Under-54284.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+18035.7%Under-24470.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
2Garrett MitchellCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36821.4%Under-56284.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53015.9%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
3Brice Turang2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrice Turang+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52684.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24771.2%Under+18235.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59714.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
4Christian YelichDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Yelich+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+86010.4%Under-160094.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
5William ContrerasC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44018.5%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
6Luis LaraRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Lara+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15139.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
7Andrew Vaughn1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Vaughn+11008.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
8David Hamilton3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDavid Hamilton+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15660.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
9Cooper PrattSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48917.0%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%

New York MetsConfirmed

1A.J. EwingCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterA.J. Ewing+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57485.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
2Francisco LindorSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterFrancisco Lindor+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
3Bo Bichette3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBo Bichette+13806.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
4Carson BengeRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Benge+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+15139.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29274.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
5Jared Young1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJared Young+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52715.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
6Luis Robert Jr.DH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Robert Jr.+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54015.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35077.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23470.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55815.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
7Brett BatyLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Baty+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52616.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43681.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
8Marcus Semien2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMarcus Semien+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57114.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41080.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41880.7%
9Francisco AlvarezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterFrancisco Alvarez+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial