MLB matchup

08/27/20261:05 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC87°F · Mostly cloudy

Rockies57 – 98vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

🏠 Nationals -140

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Rockies	5.0	39.3%
Washington Nationals	6.1	60.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Colorado Rockies	F	F	F
Washington Nationals	C	D-	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+131+1.5 (-175)

WSH-140-1.5 (+144)

Total 9.5Over -112Under -108

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+120+1.5 (-175)

WSH-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+128+1.5 (-157)

WSH-152-1.5 (+128)

Total 9.5Over -108Under -113

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+130+1.5 (-170)

WSH-140-1.5 (+143)

Total 9.5Over -125Under +105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+127+1.5 (-169)

WSH-137-1.5 (+149)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+120+1.5 (-180)

WSH-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 10.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+126+1.5 (-178)

WSH-138-1.5 (+146)

Total 9.5Over -118Under -104

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+130+1.5 (-160)

WSH-140-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.5Over -110Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+126+1.5 (-175)

WSH-142-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Rockies

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ WSH	W 13–1	W +1.5	O 9
8/25/26	@ WSH	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/24/26	@ WSH	L 3–13	L +1.5	O 8
8/23/26	vs CLE	L 2–7	L +1.5	U 11
8/22/26	vs CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 11
8/21/26	vs CLE	L 1–9	L +1.5	U 10.5
8/19/26	vs LAD	L 4–6	L +1.5	U 11.5
8/18/26	vs LAD	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 11.5
8/17/26	vs LAD	L 5–11	L +1.5	O 11
8/16/26	@ SF	W 13–7	W +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs COL	L 1–13	L -1.5	O 9
8/25/26	vs COL	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/24/26	vs COL	W 13–3	W -1.5	O 8
8/23/26	@ MIA	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
8/22/26	@ MIA	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/21/26	@ MIA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/20/26	@ TEX	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ TEX	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/18/26	@ TEX	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/16/26	@ NYM	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockies and Nationals
	Statistic
N/A (8.5)	Hits	N/A (8.4)
N/A (1.7)	Doubles	N/A (1.7)
N/A (1.1)	Home Runs	N/A (1.3)
N/A (14.0)	Total Bases	N/A (14.5)
N/A (3.1)	Walks	N/A (3.4)
N/A (8.8)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.5)
N/A (0.7)	Stolen Bases	N/A (1.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RockiesGabriel HughesConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-10150.2%Under-12755.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%

NationalsJake IrvinConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-10651.5%Under-12054.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%

Starting lineups

Colorado RockiesConfirmed

1Jake McCarthyDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake McCarthy+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50683.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+19833.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43981.4%
2Cole CarriggCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Carrigg+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51283.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59414.4%Under-99090.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
3Willi Castro3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilli Castro+84010.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
4TJ Rumfield1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTJ Rumfield+12407.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20767.4%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
5Connor Norby2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterConnor Norby+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
6Troy JohnstonRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTroy Johnston+15006.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39520.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
7Brett SullivanC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Sullivan+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57085.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16462.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45582.0%
8Zac VeenLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterZac Veen+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%
9Ezequiel TovarSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Tovar+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51216.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+14806.3%Under-340097.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50183.4%

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1CJ AbramsDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+80011.1%
Total Bases1.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+17636.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
2Dylan CrewsRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49383.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+18734.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37221.2%Under-56985.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
3Andres Chaparro1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Chaparro+9809.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40480.2%
4Daylen LileLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41380.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+16937.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
5Brady House3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrady House+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38120.8%Under-58585.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24070.6%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9809.3%Under-188094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
6Keibert RuizC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKeibert Ruiz+16405.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22068.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
7Jacob YoungCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
8Jorbit Vivas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJorbit Vivas+31003.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52815.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
9Nasim NunezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNasim Nunez+38002.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57814.7%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41280.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%

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