MLB matchup

08/27/20262:15 PMBusch StadiumSt. Louis, MO84°F · Mostly sunny

Orioles75 – 80vsCardinals75 – 80

Sharp side

🏠 Cardinals +116

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Baltimore Orioles	4.2	49.5%
St. Louis Cardinals	4.3	50.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Baltimore Orioles	B	B-	B
St. Louis Cardinals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-124-1.5 (+130)

STL+116+1.5 (-157)

Total 8.0Over -108Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-135-1.5 (+135)

STL+110+1.5 (-160)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-118-1.5 (+135)

STL+100+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over +102Under -124

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-125-1.5 (+135)

STL+115+1.5 (-160)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-124-1.5 (+135)

STL+114+1.5 (-155)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-130-1.5 (+130)

STL+110+1.5 (-160)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-126-1.5 (+130)

STL+116+1.5 (-156)

Total 8.0Over -108Under -112

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-125-1.5 (+140)

STL+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 8.5Over +110Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-125-1.5 (+130)

STL+111+1.5 (-155)

Total 8.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Last 10 games

Baltimore Orioles

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ STL	W 8–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/25/26	@ STL	W 13–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/23/26	vs TB	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	vs TB	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/21/26	vs TB	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/20/26	vs NYY	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	vs NYY	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 9
8/18/26	vs NYY	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/17/26	@ TB	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	@ TB	W 10–2	W +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

St. Louis Cardinals

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs BAL	L 7–8	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/25/26	vs BAL	L 1–13	L -1.5	O 8
8/23/26	@ PHI	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 8
8/22/26	@ PHI	L 3–12	L +1.5	O 9
8/21/26	@ PHI	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
8/20/26	@ CIN	W 10–9	L -1.5	O 9
8/19/26	@ CIN	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	@ CIN	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 9
8/17/26	@ CIN	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 9
8/17/26	@ CIN	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Orioles and Cardinals
	Statistic
N/A (7.7)	Hits	N/A (8.2)
N/A (1.4)	Doubles	N/A (1.5)
N/A (1.2)	Home Runs	N/A (1.0)
N/A (13.0)	Total Bases	N/A (12.9)
N/A (3.7)	Walks	N/A (3.2)
N/A (9.4)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.0)
N/A (0.5)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

OriolesTrevor RogersConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-13156.7%Under+10249.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%

CardinalsGordon GraceffoConfirmed

Starting lineups

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Jackson Holliday2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Holliday+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57585.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14859.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
2Pete AlonsoDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Alonso+69012.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50783.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
3Gunnar HendersonSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGunnar Henderson+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11353.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
4Samuel BasalloC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSamuel Basallo+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19766.3%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
5Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Encarnacion-Strand+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37478.9%
6Dylan BeaversLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Beavers+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
7Coby Mayo1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCoby Mayo+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52216.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
8Colton CowserCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColton Cowser+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46982.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24270.8%
9Leody TaverasRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLeody Taveras+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%

St. Louis CardinalsConfirmed

1Jose FerminSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Fermin+15206.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
2Ivan HerreraDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterIvan Herrera+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37721.0%Under-57885.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9109.9%Under-172094.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
3Jordan WalkerRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Walker+87010.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48482.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59714.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
4Alec Burleson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlec Burleson+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33977.2%
5Joshua BáezLF
6Blaze Jordan3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBlaze Jordan+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46482.3%
7Ramon Urias2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRamon Urias+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43918.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40580.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
8Nathan ChurchCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Church+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54815.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48282.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34922.3%Under-53084.1%
9Pedro PagesC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPedro Pages+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+42419.1%Under-67087.0%

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