MLB matchup

08/27/20267:05 PMYankee StadiumBronx, NY78°F · Mostly cloudy

Astros77 – 78vsYankees89 – 65

Sharp side

🏠 Yankees -153

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Houston Astros	3.4	38.5%
New York Yankees	4.6	61.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Houston Astros	B	B-	B
New York Yankees	B	A	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+142+1.5 (-157)

NYY-153-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+135+1.5 (-165)

NYY-160-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+138+1.5 (-162)

NYY-157-1.5 (+133)

Total 8.0Over -114Under -105

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+139+1.5 (-155)

NYY-149-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+142+1.5 (-151)

NYY-153-1.5 (+131)

Total 8.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+135+1.5 (-160)

NYY-165-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+142+1.5 (-160)

NYY-154-1.5 (+132)

Total 7.5Over -132Under +108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+140+1.5 (-150)

NYY-150-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over +110Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+137+1.5 (-160)

NYY-155-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Houston Astros

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ NYY	L 3–9	L +1.5	O 9
8/25/26	@ NYY	W 9–7	W +1.5	O 9
8/23/26	vs ATH	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	vs ATH	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8
8/21/26	vs ATH	W 4–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/20/26	vs LAA	L 3–18	L -1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs LAA	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/18/26	vs LAA	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 9
8/16/26	vs SEA	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8
8/15/26	vs SEA	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Yankees

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs HOU	W 9–3	W -1.5	O 9
8/25/26	vs HOU	L 7–9	L -1.5	O 9
8/23/26	vs TOR	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 8
8/22/26	vs TOR	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
8/21/26	vs TOR	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7
8/20/26	@ BAL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ BAL	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9
8/18/26	@ BAL	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/16/26	@ TOR	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
8/15/26	@ TOR	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Astros and Yankees
	Statistic
N/A (8.0)	Hits	N/A (7.8)
N/A (1.5)	Doubles	N/A (1.4)
N/A (1.3)	Home Runs	N/A (1.4)
N/A (13.7)	Total Bases	N/A (13.6)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (3.6)
N/A (8.3)	Strikeouts	N/A (9.2)
N/A (0.3)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AstrosHayden WesneskiConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10449.0%Under-13256.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

YankeesGerrit ColeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-14759.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%

Starting lineups

Houston AstrosConfirmed

1Jeremy PenaSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJeremy Pena+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
2Yordan AlvarezDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterYordan Alvarez+51816.2%
Total Bases1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18435.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
3Isaac Paredes3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIsaac Paredes+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52915.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
4Jose Altuve2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Altuve+17405.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+15139.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52316.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-22469.1%Under+16637.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
5Daulton VarshoCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDaulton Varsho+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47017.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9109.9%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40180.0%
6Christian Walker1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Walker+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55615.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50783.5%
7Yainer DiazC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterYainer Diaz+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52216.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-41080.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+52715.9%Under-86089.6%
8Taylor TrammellLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTaylor Trammell+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Hits0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43581.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42380.9%
9Cam SmithRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCam Smith+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+40219.9%Under-63086.3%

New York YankeesConfirmed

1Trent GrishamCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTrent Grisham+79011.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
2Ben RiceDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Rice+74011.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
3Luis Garcia Jr.1B
4Cody BellingerLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Bellinger+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36221.6%Under-55284.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
5George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Lombard Jr.+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
6Spencer JonesRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Jones+12407.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
7Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJazz Chisholm Jr.+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+31923.9%Under-47882.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
8Austin WellsC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Wells+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57014.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33376.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
9Jose Caballero3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Caballero+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54815.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50783.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%

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