MLB matchup

08/27/20267:07 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Royals67 – 88vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side

🏠 Blue Jays -102

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Kansas City Royals	4.0	48.7%
Toronto Blue Jays	4.1	51.3%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Kansas City Royals	C	B-	C
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	C+	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-105-1.5 (+144)

TOR-102+1.5 (-175)

Total 8.5Over -101Under -119

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-110-1.5 (+145)

TOR-110+1.5 (-175)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-115-1.5 (+143)

TOR-104+1.5 (-177)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -117

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-105-1.5 (+143)

TOR-105+1.5 (-170)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-107-1.5 (+150)

TOR-103+1.5 (-170)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-110-1.5 (+145)

TOR-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-106-1.5 (+146)

TOR-102+1.5 (-178)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -118

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-105-1.5 (+155)

TOR-105+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-105-1.5 (+150)

TOR-105+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Kansas City Royals

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U3–5–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ TOR	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/25/26	@ TOR	W 5–3	W +1.5	P 8
8/23/26	vs DET	W 11–7	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	vs DET	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/21/26	vs DET	W 5–2	W +1.5	U 8
8/20/26	vs ATH	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
8/19/26	vs ATH	W 9–7	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	vs ATH	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
8/17/26	vs ATH	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 9
8/16/26	@ LAA	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs KC	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/25/26	vs KC	L 3–5	L -1.5	P 8
8/23/26	@ NYY	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 8
8/22/26	@ NYY	W 4–3	L -1.5	O 6.5
8/21/26	@ NYY	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7
8/20/26	@ TB	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ TB	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 7
8/18/26	@ TB	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	vs NYY	L 3–4	L -1.5	O 6.5
8/15/26	vs NYY	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Royals and Blue Jays
	Statistic
N/A (8.2)	Hits	N/A (8.5)
N/A (1.8)	Doubles	N/A (1.6)
N/A (1.0)	Home Runs	N/A (1.0)
N/A (13.4)	Total Bases	N/A (13.4)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (2.9)
N/A (7.8)	Strikeouts	N/A (7.1)
N/A (0.8)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RoyalsNoah CameronConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+11746.1%Under-14959.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%

Blue JaysSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10249.5%Under-12956.3%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%

Starting lineups

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

1Carter JensenC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCarter Jensen+78011.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
2Bobby Witt Jr.SS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBobby Witt Jr.+70012.5%
Total Bases1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%
Total Hits1.5Over+19234.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
3Jac CaglianoneRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJac Caglianone+79011.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58685.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10408.8%Under-210095.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
4Vinnie Pasquantino1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVinnie Pasquantino+11008.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34922.3%Under-52984.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19265.8%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
5Salvador PerezDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSalvador Perez+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40120.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27826.5%Under-41080.4%
6Isaac Collins2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterIsaac Collins+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40280.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
7John RaveLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Rave+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54415.5%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39779.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
8Josh Rojas3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Rojas+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36378.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-138093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
9Kyle IsbelCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Isbel+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33977.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55315.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39479.8%

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Charles McAdoo2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCharles McAdoo+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33977.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21668.4%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
3Alejandro KirkC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlejandro Kirk+15006.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
4George SpringerDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
5Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23470.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
6Ernie ClementSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterErnie Clement+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56384.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29474.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50583.5%
7Daz CameronLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDaz Cameron+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46882.4%
8Myles StrawCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMyles Straw+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52915.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28373.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32876.6%
9Nathan LukesRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Lukes+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%

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