MLB matchup

08/27/20267:10 PMCiti FieldQueens, NY78°F · Cloudy

Brewers98 – 58vsMets71 – 85

Sharp side

🏠 Mets +184

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	4.0	58.7%
New York Mets	3.2	41.3%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	A	A
New York Mets	B	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-198-1.5 (-110)

NYM+184+1.5 (-110)

Total 7.0Over -108Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-210-1.5 (-110)

NYM+170+1.5 (-110)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-205-1.5 (-115)

NYM+180+1.5 (-106)

Total 7.0Over -106Under -113

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-195-1.5 (-110)

NYM+175+1.5 (-110)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-191-1.5 (-104)

NYM+176+1.5 (-116)

Total 7.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-200-1.5 (-110)

NYM+165+1.5 (-110)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-194-1.5 (-110)

NYM+178+1.5 (-110)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-190-1.5 (-105)

NYM+180+1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over +120Under -130

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-203-1.5 (-105)

NYM+177+1.5 (-115)

Total 6.5Over -135Under +115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ NYM	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/25/26	@ NYM	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	vs ATL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
8/22/26	vs ATL	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 8
8/21/26	vs ATL	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 6
8/20/26	vs SEA	W 7–4	W -1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs SEA	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/18/26	vs SEA	W 22–0	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	@ LAD	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/15/26	@ LAD	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Mets

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs MIL	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/25/26	vs MIL	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	@ CHW	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	@ CHW	W 10–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/21/26	@ CHW	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs SD	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/18/26	vs SD	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/17/26	vs SD	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/16/26	vs WSH	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/15/26	vs WSH	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Mets
	Statistic
N/A (8.6)	Hits	N/A (8.0)
N/A (1.7)	Doubles	N/A (1.3)
N/A (0.9)	Home Runs	N/A (1.3)
N/A (13.4)	Total Bases	N/A (13.3)
N/A (4.1)	Walks	N/A (3.2)
N/A (8.5)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.4)
N/A (1.0)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersJacob MisiorowskiConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%

Total Strikeouts8.5Over-13557.4%Under+10548.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%

MetsSean ManaeaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-13858.0%Under+10947.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+66013.2%
Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50483.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+18235.5%Under-24771.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
2Luis LaraCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Lara+18005.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56785.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-25972.1%Under+19134.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
3William ContrerasDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+88010.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51183.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-24070.6%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
4Andrew Vaughn1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Vaughn+90010.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54984.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24370.8%
5Gary SanchezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGary Sanchez+90010.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
6Joey Ortiz3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJoey Ortiz+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
7Sal FrelickRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Frelick+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33376.9%
8Cooper PrattSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
9David Hamilton2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDavid Hamilton+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41380.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59685.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38779.5%

New York MetsConfirmed

1A.J. EwingCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterA.J. Ewing+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59285.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59514.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
2Francisco LindorSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterFrancisco Lindor+10009.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52416.0%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41780.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
3Carson BengeRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Benge+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-19265.8%Under+14341.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45181.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
4Luis Robert Jr.LF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Robert Jr.+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54115.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13642.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36878.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
5Jared Young1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJared Young+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45381.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32876.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%
6Marcus Semien2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMarcus Semien+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58814.5%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
7Brett Baty3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Baty+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Hits0.5Over+11845.9%Under-15861.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+37421.1%Under-57385.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39779.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
8Christopher MorelDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristopher Morel+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34477.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28373.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49183.1%
9Francisco AlvarezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterFrancisco Alvarez+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51883.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%

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