MLB matchup

08/28/20262:20 PMWrigley FieldChicago, IL79°F · Mostly sunny

Reds72 – 84vsCubs87 – 69

Sharp side

🏠 Cubs -193

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cincinnati Reds	3.9	36.1%
Chicago Cubs	5.3	63.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Cincinnati Reds	C	C-	C
Chicago Cubs	A-	B	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+179+1.5 (-125)

CHC-193-1.5 (+103)

Total 9.0Over +101Under -122

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+170+1.5 (-125)

CHC-210-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+165+1.5 (-137)

CHC-190-1.5 (+112)

Total 8.5Over -121Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+183+1.5 (-120)

CHC-203-1.5 (+100)

Total 8.5Over -130Under +110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+180+1.5 (-123)

CHC-195-1.5 (+103)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+170+1.5 (-125)

CHC-205-1.5 (+105)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+180+1.5 (-126)

CHC-194-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.5Over -122Under +100

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+180+1.5 (-120)

CHC-190-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+177+1.5 (-125)

CHC-203-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cincinnati Reds

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ SF	W 10–9	L -1.5	O 7
8/25/26	@ SF	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/24/26	@ SF	L 0–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	@ ARI	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	@ ARI	W 11–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/21/26	@ ARI	L 0–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/20/26	vs STL	L 9–10	W +1.5	O 9
8/19/26	vs STL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	vs STL	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 9
8/17/26	vs STL	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago Cubs

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ ARI	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/25/26	@ ARI	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/24/26	@ ARI	W 7–0	W -1.5	U 9
8/23/26	@ SEA	W 19–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/22/26	@ SEA	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/21/26	@ SEA	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/19/26	vs CHW	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/18/26	vs CHW	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
8/17/26	vs CHW	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8
8/16/26	vs STL	L 4–11	L -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Reds and Cubs
	Statistic
N/A (7.6)	Hits	N/A (8.6)
N/A (1.3)	Doubles	N/A (1.6)
N/A (1.3)	Home Runs	N/A (1.4)
N/A (13.0)	Total Bases	N/A (14.8)
N/A (3.5)	Walks	N/A (4.1)
N/A (9.6)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.4)
N/A (0.7)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RedsRhett LowderConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-14559.2%Under+11446.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%

CubsDavid PetersonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-14859.7%Under+11646.3%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%

Starting lineups

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

1Dane MyersCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDane Myers+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14940.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55084.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42581.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55915.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
2Elly De La CruzSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterElly De La Cruz+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58514.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
3Sal Stewart1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Stewart+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19766.3%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
4Tyler StephensonDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Stephenson+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
5Eugenio Suarez3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEugenio Suarez+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
6JJ BledayLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJJ Bleday+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23670.2%
7Matt McLain2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt McLain+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57714.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44881.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10608.6%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
8Jose TrevinoC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Trevino+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47382.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32676.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51283.7%
9Hector RodriguezRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHector Rodriguez+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50183.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35621.9%Under-54184.4%

Chicago CubsConfirmed

1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Crow-Armstrong+59714.3%
Total Bases1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44181.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+18535.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37221.2%Under-56885.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
2Seiya SuzukiRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSeiya Suzuki+90010.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53684.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-24571.0%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
3Michael Busch1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Busch+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53784.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16737.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
4Alex Bregman3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Bregman+12407.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34822.3%Under-52784.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-25371.7%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
5Ian HappLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterIan Happ+9809.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
6Nico HoernerSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNico Hoerner+25003.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39920.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-25471.8%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11346.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
7Pedro Ramirez2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPedro Ramirez+14806.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-186094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
8Michael ConfortoDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Conforto+10009.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49616.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
9Carson KellyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Kelly+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54915.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%

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