MLB matchup

08/28/20266:45 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC88°F · Thunderstorms

Marlins76 – 79vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

🏠 Nationals +125

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Miami Marlins	5.1	55.3%
Washington Nationals	4.6	44.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Miami Marlins	C	B-	C+
Washington Nationals	C	D+	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-134-1.5 (+119)

WSH+125+1.5 (-143)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-145-1.5 (+115)

WSH+120+1.5 (-140)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-141-1.5 (+120)

WSH+123+1.5 (-143)

Total 8.0Over -117Under -104

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-146-1.5 (+110)

WSH+136+1.5 (-130)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-140-1.5 (+115)

WSH+130+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-145-1.5 (+115)

WSH+120+1.5 (-140)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-134-1.5 (+116)

WSH+124+1.5 (-140)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-130-1.5 (+125)

WSH+120+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-136-1.5 (+110)

WSH+121+1.5 (-130)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Miami Marlins

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–6–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs BOS	W 4–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/25/26	vs BOS	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7
8/24/26	vs BOS	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7
8/23/26	vs WSH	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
8/22/26	vs WSH	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/21/26	vs WSH	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ PHI	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9
8/18/26	@ PHI	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 8
8/17/26	@ PHI	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/16/26	@ CIN	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	vs COL	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
8/26/26	vs COL	L 1–13	L -1.5	O 9
8/25/26	vs COL	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/24/26	vs COL	W 13–3	W -1.5	O 8
8/23/26	@ MIA	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
8/22/26	@ MIA	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/21/26	@ MIA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/20/26	@ TEX	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ TEX	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/18/26	@ TEX	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Marlins and Nationals
	Statistic
N/A (8.3)	Hits	N/A (8.4)
N/A (1.5)	Doubles	N/A (1.7)
N/A (1.0)	Home Runs	N/A (1.3)
N/A (13.3)	Total Bases	N/A (14.5)
N/A (3.4)	Walks	N/A (3.4)
N/A (8.3)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.5)
N/A (1.1)	Stolen Bases	N/A (1.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarlinsEury PerezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-11252.8%Under-11453.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-19666.2%Under+14740.5%

NationalsJackson KentConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+13043.5%Under-16662.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%

Starting lineups

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

1Heriberto HernandezLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterHeriberto Hernandez+64013.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49383.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10551.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
2Agustin RamirezDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterAgustin Ramirez+9409.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57085.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
3Otto LopezSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterOtto Lopez+15406.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51283.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+16537.7%Under-22369.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17763.9%Under+12744.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39420.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
4Javier SanojaRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJavier Sanoja+18005.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49383.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+18734.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16161.7%Under+11746.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53215.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
5Xavier Edwards2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterXavier Edwards+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23670.2%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39520.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
6Kyle Stowers1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Stowers+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44018.5%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
7Leo Jimenez3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLeo Jimenez+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12755.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26672.7%
8Esteury RuizCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEsteury Ruiz+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-30075.0%
9Joe MackC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJoe Mack+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54115.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1CJ AbramsSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+9609.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43581.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
2Abimelec Ortiz1B
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterAbimelec Ortiz+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37979.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
3Dylan CrewsRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40219.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
4Daylen LileLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+13806.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34822.3%Under-52884.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52316.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
5Brady House3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrady House+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34177.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
6Jorbit Vivas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJorbit Vivas+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
7Harry FordC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHarry Ford+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28974.3%
8Andres ChaparroDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Chaparro+87010.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28974.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
9Jacob YoungCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54515.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30975.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20066.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56785.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%

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