MLB matchup

08/28/20267:10 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, OH71°F · Mostly sunny

Royals67 – 88vsGuardians80 – 75

Sharp side

🏠 Guardians -129

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Kansas City Royals	3.5	44.2%
Cleveland Guardians	4.0	55.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Kansas City Royals	C	B-	C
Cleveland Guardians	D+	B	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+120+1.5 (-193)

CLE-129-1.5 (+158)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -121

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+115+1.5 (-190)

CLE-140-1.5 (+155)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+123+1.5 (-186)

CLE-148-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -122

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+120+1.5 (-190)

CLE-130-1.5 (+158)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+120+1.5 (-190)

CLE-130-1.5 (+165)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+115+1.5 (-190)

CLE-140-1.5 (+155)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+120+1.5 (-194)

CLE-130-1.5 (+160)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -122

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+120+1.5 (-180)

CLE-130-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+115+1.5 (-200)

CLE-135-1.5 (+160)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Kansas City Royals

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–4–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	@ TOR	W 13–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/26/26	@ TOR	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/25/26	@ TOR	W 5–3	W +1.5	P 8
8/23/26	vs DET	W 11–7	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	vs DET	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/21/26	vs DET	W 5–2	W +1.5	U 8
8/20/26	vs ATH	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
8/19/26	vs ATH	W 9–7	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	vs ATH	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
8/17/26	vs ATH	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ LAA	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
8/25/26	@ LAA	W 8–6	W -1.5	O 7
8/24/26	@ LAA	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7
8/23/26	@ COL	W 7–2	W -1.5	U 11
8/22/26	@ COL	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 11
8/21/26	@ COL	W 9–1	W -1.5	U 10.5
8/20/26	vs SF	W 5–2	W -1.5	P 7
8/19/26	vs SF	L 0–1	L -1.5	U 7
8/18/26	vs SF	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 8
8/16/26	vs SD	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Royals and Guardians
	Statistic
N/A (8.3)	Hits	N/A (7.8)
N/A (1.8)	Doubles	N/A (1.6)
N/A (1.0)	Home Runs	N/A (1.0)
N/A (13.5)	Total Bases	N/A (12.5)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (3.5)
N/A (7.8)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.0)
N/A (0.8)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RoyalsMichael WachaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-15961.4%Under+12444.6%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%

GuardiansTanner BibeeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11753.9%Under-10952.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

Starting lineups

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

1Carter JensenC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarter Jensen+68012.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18464.8%
2Bobby Witt Jr.SS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBobby Witt Jr.+74011.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53684.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45917.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
3Jac CaglianoneRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJac Caglianone+70012.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51583.7%
4Salvador PerezDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSalvador Perez+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45682.0%
5Vinnie Pasquantino1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterVinnie Pasquantino+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18765.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
6Nick Loftin2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Loftin+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28426.0%Under-41980.7%
7Isaac CollinsLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterIsaac Collins+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9609.4%Under-184094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
8Josh Rojas3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Rojas+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55215.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50383.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35578.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51483.7%
9Kyle IsbelCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Isbel+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56215.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49583.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19365.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+43918.6%Under-69087.3%

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSteven Kwan+35002.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31624.0%Under-47382.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
2Chase DeLauterDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChase DeLauter+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22969.6%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25171.5%
3Jose Ramirez3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Ramirez+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55315.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
4Jo AdellRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJo Adell+9509.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56685.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
5Nathaniel Lowe1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathaniel Lowe+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27273.1%
6Travis Bazzana2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTravis Bazzana+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
7Patrick BaileyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPatrick Bailey+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57614.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
8Petey HalpinCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPetey Halpin+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49216.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50483.4%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrayan Rocchio+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11008.3%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41380.5%

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