MLB matchup

08/28/20267:15 PMTruist ParkAtlanta, GA88°F · Intermittent clouds

Rockies57 – 98vsBraves91 – 64

Sharp side

🏠 Braves -216

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Rockies	3.5	28.3%
Atlanta Braves	5.7	71.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Colorado Rockies	F	D-	D-
Atlanta Braves	B+	B	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+200+1.5 (-109)

ATL-216-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+185+1.5 (-110)

ATL-225-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+195+1.5 (-117)

ATL-225-1.5 (-105)

Total 9.0Over -109Under -110

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+196+1.5 (-105)

ATL-216-1.5 (-115)

Total 9.0Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+201+1.5 (-110)

ATL-220-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.0Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+185+1.5 (-115)

ATL-225-1.5 (-105)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+198+1.5 (-113)

ATL-215-1.5 (-106)

Total 9.0Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+210+1.5 (-110)

ATL-220-1.5 (+100)

Total 8.5Over -130Under +120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+203+1.5 (-110)

ATL-234-1.5 (-110)

Total 8.5Over -135Under +115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Rockies

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	@ WSH	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 9.5
8/26/26	@ WSH	W 13–1	W +1.5	O 9
8/25/26	@ WSH	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/24/26	@ WSH	L 3–13	L +1.5	O 8
8/23/26	vs CLE	L 2–7	L +1.5	U 11
8/22/26	vs CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 11
8/21/26	vs CLE	L 1–9	L +1.5	U 10.5
8/19/26	vs LAD	L 4–6	L +1.5	U 11.5
8/18/26	vs LAD	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 11.5
8/17/26	vs LAD	L 5–11	L +1.5	O 11

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Atlanta Braves

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	vs LAD	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 6.5
8/26/26	vs LAD	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/25/26	vs LAD	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/23/26	vs MIL	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 8
8/22/26	@ MIL	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 8
8/21/26	@ MIL	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 6
8/20/26	@ CHW	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/19/26	@ MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 9
8/18/26	@ MIN	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 9
8/17/26	@ MIN	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockies and Braves
	Statistic
N/A (8.5)	Hits	N/A (8.4)
N/A (1.7)	Doubles	N/A (1.5)
N/A (1.1)	Home Runs	N/A (1.3)
N/A (14.0)	Total Bases	N/A (14.0)
N/A (3.1)	Walks	N/A (3.0)
N/A (8.8)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.1)
N/A (0.7)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RockiesTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed3.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-17763.9%Under+13842.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

BravesGrant HolmesConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-14258.7%Under+11247.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%

Starting lineups

Colorado RockiesConfirmed

1Jake McCarthyLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake McCarthy+19005.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46282.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58185.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%
2Cole CarriggCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Carrigg+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
3Hunter GoodmanC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHunter Goodman+64013.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
4TJ Rumfield1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTJ Rumfield+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
5Willi Castro3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilli Castro+15206.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45718.0%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-182094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
6Mickey MoniakDH
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterMickey Moniak+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47817.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
7Connor Norby2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterConnor Norby+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
8Zac VeenRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZac Veen+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46982.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9909.2%Under-192095.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34622.4%Under-52383.9%
9Ezequiel TovarSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Tovar+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58785.4%

Atlanta BravesConfirmed

1Drake BaldwinDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDrake Baldwin+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48582.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+16837.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-14859.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
2Ozzie Albies2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterOzzie Albies+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36421.6%Under-55684.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-26872.8%Under+19733.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
3Matt Olson1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt Olson+58214.7%
Total Bases1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56084.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-27273.1%Under+19933.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
4Ronald Acuna Jr.RF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRonald Acuna Jr.+9309.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36321.6%Under-55384.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50416.6%Under-82089.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
5Michael Harris IICF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Harris II+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34822.3%Under-52884.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+18535.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51483.7%
6Mauricio Dubon3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMauricio Dubon+25003.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-59885.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-26272.4%Under+19334.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41280.5%
7Mike YastrzemskiLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Yastrzemski+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46217.8%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
8Sean MurphyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSean Murphy+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
9Ha-Seong KimSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHa-Seong Kim+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35578.0%

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