MLB matchup

08/28/20267:15 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Mariners72 – 83vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side

✈️ Mariners +131

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Seattle Mariners	3.5	44.2%
Toronto Blue Jays	4.0	55.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Seattle Mariners	B	B-	B
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	A-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+131+1.5 (-174)

TOR-141-1.5 (+143)

Total 7.0Over -101Under -120

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+125+1.5 (-175)

TOR-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -130

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+132+1.5 (-177)

TOR-157-1.5 (+145)

Total 6.5Over -124Under +102

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+127+1.5 (-170)

TOR-137-1.5 (+143)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+130+1.5 (-170)

TOR-140-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+120+1.5 (-180)

TOR-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+130+1.5 (-176)

TOR-140-1.5 (+146)

Total 6.5Over -125Under +104

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+130+1.5 (-165)

TOR-140-1.5 (+155)

Total 6.5Over -125Under +115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA+126+1.5 (-180)

TOR-142-1.5 (+150)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Seattle Mariners

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs PHI	L 0–6	L +1.5	U 7
8/25/26	vs PHI	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 8
8/24/26	vs PHI	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 6.5
8/23/26	vs CHC	L 2–19	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/22/26	vs CHC	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/21/26	vs CHC	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/20/26	@ MIL	L 4–7	L +1.5	O 8
8/19/26	@ MIL	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/18/26	@ MIL	L 0–22	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	@ HOU	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	vs KC	L 2–13	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/26/26	vs KC	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/25/26	vs KC	L 3–5	L -1.5	P 8
8/23/26	@ NYY	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 8
8/22/26	@ NYY	W 4–3	L -1.5	O 6.5
8/21/26	@ NYY	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7
8/20/26	@ TB	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ TB	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 7
8/18/26	@ TB	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	vs NYY	L 3–4	L -1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mariners and Blue Jays
	Statistic
N/A (7.7)	Hits	N/A (8.5)
N/A (1.3)	Doubles	N/A (1.6)
N/A (1.2)	Home Runs	N/A (1.0)
N/A (12.8)	Total Bases	N/A (13.4)
N/A (3.4)	Walks	N/A (2.9)
N/A (8.9)	Strikeouts	N/A (7.1)
N/A (0.7)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarinersEmerson HancockConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-12355.2%Under-10451.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%

Blue JaysDylan CeaseConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%

Total Strikeouts7.5Over-13056.5%Under+10249.5%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%

Starting lineups

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

1Randy ArozarenaLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRandy Arozarena+9909.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
2Dominic CanzoneDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDominic Canzone+82010.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37679.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
3Julio RodriguezCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJulio Rodriguez+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51316.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39479.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
4Josh Naylor1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Naylor+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38479.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+54515.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
5Cal RaleighC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCal Raleigh+9109.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54515.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
6Cole Young2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Young+18405.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45917.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45381.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17663.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%
7Taylor WardRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTaylor Ward+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-104091.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-47082.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
8J.P. Crawford3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.P. Crawford+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57014.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35222.1%Under-53484.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
9Brock RoddenSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrock Rodden+16605.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+70012.5%Under-122092.4%
Total Hits0.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34822.3%Under-52884.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Bateman+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+16038.5%Under-21668.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44381.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10449.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
2Nathan LukesRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Lukes+14606.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58185.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23970.5%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13557.4%Under-10250.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29474.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
4George SpringerDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
5Jesus SanchezLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJesus Sanchez+9809.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40020.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10808.5%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37178.8%
6Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+9109.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
7Andres GimenezSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Gimenez+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48917.0%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28426.0%Under-41980.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
8Ernie Clement2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterErnie Clement+25003.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36678.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10149.8%
9Brandon ValenzuelaC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Valenzuela+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55015.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41580.6%

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