MLB matchup

08/28/20267:15 PMYankee StadiumBronx, NY80°F · Partly sunny

Red Sox84 – 71vsYankees89 – 65

Sharp side

🏠 Yankees -152

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Boston Red Sox	3.2	39.6%
New York Yankees	4.2	60.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Boston Red Sox	B-	A-	B
New York Yankees	B	A+	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+142+1.5 (-166)

NYY-152-1.5 (+137)

Total 7.0Over -114Under -106

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+135+1.5 (-170)

NYY-160-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+138+1.5 (-180)

NYY-157-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.0Over -114Under -105

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+135+1.5 (-165)

NYY-145-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+136+1.5 (-165)

NYY-146-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+130+1.5 (-170)

NYY-155-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+138+1.5 (-170)

NYY-148-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over +106Under -130

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+140+1.5 (-155)

NYY-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over +115Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+131+1.5 (-165)

NYY-148-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Last 10 games

Boston Red Sox

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ MIA	L 0–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/25/26	@ MIA	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 7
8/24/26	@ MIA	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7
8/23/26	vs SF	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	vs SF	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
8/21/26	vs SF	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/19/26	vs ARI	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	vs ARI	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/17/26	vs ARI	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 9
8/16/26	@ PIT	L 3–8	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Yankees

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	vs HOU	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 8
8/26/26	vs HOU	W 9–3	W -1.5	O 9
8/25/26	vs HOU	L 7–9	L -1.5	O 9
8/23/26	vs TOR	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 8
8/22/26	vs TOR	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
8/21/26	vs TOR	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7
8/20/26	@ BAL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	@ BAL	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9
8/18/26	@ BAL	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/16/26	@ TOR	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Sox and Yankees
	Statistic
N/A (8.2)	Hits	N/A (7.9)
N/A (1.8)	Doubles	N/A (1.4)
N/A (1.0)	Home Runs	N/A (1.4)
N/A (13.3)	Total Bases	N/A (13.6)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (3.6)
N/A (8.2)	Strikeouts	N/A (9.2)
N/A (0.7)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Red SoxPatrick SandovalConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+10249.5%Under-13056.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-19766.3%Under+14740.5%

YankeesCam SchlittlerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-12856.1%Under+10050.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11553.5%

Starting lineups

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

1Nick SogardSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Sogard+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18164.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
2Ceddanne RafaelaCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCeddanne Rafaela+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52083.9%
3Wilyer AbreuRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilyer Abreu+76011.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
4Willson Contreras1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterWillson Contreras+9809.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36878.6%
5Adley RutschmanC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAdley Rutschman+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
6Caleb Durbin3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCaleb Durbin+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32023.8%Under-48082.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+54615.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51383.7%
7Mickey GasperDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMickey Gasper+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57914.7%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42581.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
8Jarren DuranLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJarren Duran+12607.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56715.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41580.6%
9Anthony Seigler2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAnthony Seigler+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54684.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%

New York YankeesConfirmed

1Paul Goldschmidt1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPaul Goldschmidt+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56785.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24070.6%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
2Ben RiceDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Rice+86010.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
3Cody BellingerLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Bellinger+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-24771.2%Under+18235.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23670.2%
4Heliot RamosRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHeliot Ramos+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40719.7%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11607.9%Under-240096.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
5Trent GrishamCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTrent Grisham+11008.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
6George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Lombard Jr.+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9409.6%Under-180094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
7Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJazz Chisholm Jr.+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
8Jose Caballero3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Caballero+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46582.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50383.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
9Austin WellsC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Wells+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46182.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%

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