MLB matchup

08/28/20267:40 PMAmerican Family FieldMilwaukee, WI

Rangers78 – 77vsBrewers97 – 58

Sharp side

✈️ Rangers +185

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Texas Rangers	3.2	41.0%
Milwaukee Brewers	4.1	59.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Texas Rangers	C	B	C+
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	A-	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+185+1.5 (-128)

MIL-199-1.5 (+106)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -102

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+180+1.5 (-120)

MIL-220-1.5 (+100)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+188+1.5 (-129)

MIL-215-1.5 (+106)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+190+1.5 (-120)

MIL-210-1.5 (+100)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+193+1.5 (-125)

MIL-210-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+175+1.5 (-120)

MIL-215-1.5 (+100)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+190+1.5 (-118)

MIL-205-1.5 (-102)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+190+1.5 (-115)

MIL-200-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.5Over -110Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+186+1.5 (-125)

MIL-212-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Texas Rangers

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–6–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ CHW	L 4–10	L +1.5	O 8
8/25/26	@ CHW	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 7
8/24/26	@ CHW	W 11–2	W +1.5	O 8
8/23/26	vs LAA	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
8/22/26	vs LAA	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 8
8/21/26	vs LAA	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/20/26	vs WSH	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	vs WSH	L 0–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/18/26	vs WSH	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/16/26	@ ATH	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	@ NYM	W 8–2	W -1.5	O 7
8/26/26	@ NYM	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/25/26	@ NYM	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/23/26	vs ATL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
8/22/26	vs ATL	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 8
8/21/26	vs ATL	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 6
8/20/26	vs SEA	W 7–4	W -1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs SEA	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/18/26	vs SEA	W 22–0	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/16/26	@ LAD	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rangers and Brewers
	Statistic
N/A (8.0)	Hits	N/A (8.6)
N/A (1.5)	Doubles	N/A (1.7)
N/A (1.1)	Home Runs	N/A (0.9)
N/A (13.0)	Total Bases	N/A (13.4)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (4.1)
N/A (8.6)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.4)
N/A (0.5)	Stolen Bases	N/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RangersCody BradfordConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-10952.2%Under-11753.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%

BrewersLogan HendersonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-10952.2%Under-11753.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%

Starting lineups

Texas RangersConfirmed

1Joc PedersonDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJoc Pederson+56315.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57514.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40280.1%
2Corey SeagerSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCorey Seager+65013.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
3Wyatt LangfordLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWyatt Langford+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52416.0%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
4Brandon NimmoRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Nimmo+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
5Ezequiel Duran3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Duran+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59814.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33176.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58685.4%
6Evan CarterCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEvan Carter+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58614.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52083.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
7Jake Burger1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Burger+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58114.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54284.4%
8Cody Freeman2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Freeman+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+70012.5%Under-122092.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39579.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
9Danny JansenC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDanny Jansen+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Hits0.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+40919.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Brice Turang2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrice Turang+16205.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+19833.6%Under-27073.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58785.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
2Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+9209.8%
Total Bases1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44381.6%
Total Hits1.5Over+18834.7%Under-25671.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55115.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
3Jake Bauers1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Bauers+81011.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34922.3%Under-52984.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23269.9%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
4William ContrerasC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36421.6%Under-55584.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-26072.2%Under+19134.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
5Christian YelichDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Yelich+17805.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55184.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
6Joey OrtizSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJoey Ortiz+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
7Garrett MitchellCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
8Sal FrelickRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Frelick+30003.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
9David Hamilton3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDavid Hamilton+31003.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33722.9%Under-50883.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%

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