MLB matchup

08/28/20268:10 PMTarget FieldMinneapolis, MN80°F · Mostly sunny

White Sox79 – 76vsTwins72 – 83

Sharp side

✈️ White Sox +119

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago White Sox	4.3	50.3%
Minnesota Twins	4.3	49.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago White Sox	C	B	B-
Minnesota Twins	C	C+	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+119+1.5 (-193)

MIN-127-1.5 (+158)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+110+1.5 (-190)

MIN-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+120+1.5 (-175)

MIN-148-1.5 (+138)

Total 8.5Over -129Under +106

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+115+1.5 (-190)

MIN-125-1.5 (+158)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+116+1.5 (-190)

MIN-126-1.5 (+165)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+110+1.5 (-185)

MIN-130-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+116+1.5 (-194)

MIN-126-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -124Under +102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+115-1.5 (+190)

MIN-125+1.5 (-200)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+111+1.5 (-200)

MIN-125-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago White Sox

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs TEX	W 10–4	W -1.5	O 8
8/25/26	vs TEX	W 11–7	W +1.5	O 7
8/24/26	vs TEX	L 2–11	L -1.5	O 8
8/23/26	vs NYM	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	vs NYM	L 5–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/21/26	vs NYM	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8
8/20/26	vs ATL	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/19/26	@ CHC	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/18/26	@ CHC	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 9.5
8/17/26	@ CHC	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Twins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 10.5
8/25/26	@ ATH	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9.5
8/24/26	@ ATH	W 9–6	W -1.5	O 11.5
8/23/26	@ SD	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	@ SD	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8
8/21/26	@ SD	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
8/19/26	vs ATL	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9
8/18/26	vs ATL	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 9
8/17/26	vs ATL	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 9
8/16/26	vs PHI	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for White Sox and Twins
	Statistic
N/A (7.8)	Hits	N/A (8.1)
N/A (1.6)	Doubles	N/A (1.6)
N/A (1.3)	Home Runs	N/A (1.1)
N/A (13.4)	Total Bases	N/A (13.5)
N/A (3.6)	Walks	N/A (3.1)
N/A (9.2)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.2)
N/A (0.6)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

White SoxLuis CastilloConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-16462.1%Under+12843.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14358.8%

TwinsDean KremerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+11546.5%Under-14759.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-19265.8%Under+14441.0%

Starting lineups

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam AntonacciLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSam Antonacci+16005.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51983.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
2Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMunetaka Murakami+57514.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
3Miguel Vargas3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Vargas+89010.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33223.1%Under-49983.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
4Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Benintendi+9409.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35621.9%Under-54184.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
5Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBraden Montgomery+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56184.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
6Colson MontgomerySS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColson Montgomery+87010.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
7Chase Meidroth2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
8Tristan PetersCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTristan Peters+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
9Drew RomoC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDrew Romo+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53415.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45181.9%

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLuke Keaschall+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35022.2%Under-53084.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49516.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
2Brooks Lee3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrooks Lee+11008.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46682.3%
Total Hits1.5Over+20133.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
3Ryan JeffersC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRyan Jeffers+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
4Kody Clemens2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKody Clemens+80011.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45782.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
5Josh BellDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Bell+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56785.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
6Royce Lewis1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRoyce Lewis+11807.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36121.7%Under-54984.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
7Trevor LarnachLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTrevor Larnach+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
8Kaelen CulpepperSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKaelen Culpepper+28003.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
9Walker JenkinsCF

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial