MLB matchup

08/28/20269:38 PMAngel StadiumAnaheim, CA95°F · Mostly sunny

Phillies85 – 70vsAngels60 – 95

Sharp side

✈️ Phillies -114

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Philadelphia Phillies	4.9	57.1%
Los Angeles Angels	4.2	42.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Philadelphia Phillies	A-	B	B+
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-114-1.5 (+132)

LAA+106+1.5 (-160)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-120-1.5 (+135)

LAA+100+1.5 (-165)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -102

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-122-1.5 (+133)

LAA+107+1.5 (-162)

Total 7.5Over -118Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-115-1.5 (+135)

LAA+105+1.5 (-160)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-115-1.5 (+145)

LAA+105+1.5 (-165)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-120-1.5 (+140)

LAA+100+1.5 (-170)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-116-1.5 (+142)

LAA+106+1.5 (-172)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-115-1.5 (+145)

LAA+105+1.5 (-155)

Total 7.5Over -110Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-120-1.5 (+140)

LAA+107+1.5 (-165)

Total 7.5Over -120Under -105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Philadelphia Phillies

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	@ SEA	W 6–0	W -1.5	U 7
8/25/26	@ SEA	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 8
8/24/26	@ SEA	L 2–9	L -1.5	O 6.5
8/23/26	vs STL	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8
8/22/26	vs STL	W 12–3	W -1.5	O 9
8/21/26	vs STL	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 8
8/19/26	vs MIA	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
8/18/26	vs MIA	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8
8/17/26	vs MIA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/16/26	@ MIN	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Los Angeles Angels

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
8/25/26	vs CLE	L 6–8	L +1.5	O 7
8/24/26	vs CLE	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7
8/23/26	@ TEX	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
8/22/26	@ TEX	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 8
8/21/26	@ TEX	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/20/26	@ HOU	W 18–3	W +1.5	O 8
8/19/26	@ HOU	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/18/26	@ HOU	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 9
8/16/26	vs KC	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Phillies and Angels
	Statistic
N/A (8.0)	Hits	N/A (7.7)
N/A (1.5)	Doubles	N/A (1.5)
N/A (1.2)	Home Runs	N/A (1.0)
N/A (13.3)	Total Bases	N/A (12.3)
N/A (3.2)	Walks	N/A (3.1)
N/A (8.3)	Strikeouts	N/A (9.6)
N/A (0.6)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PhilliesAndrew PainterConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12145.2%Under-15560.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

AngelsReid DetmersConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-14959.8%Under+11746.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%

Starting lineups

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed

1Kyle SchwarberDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Schwarber+47117.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53415.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
2Trea TurnerSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTrea Turner+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59685.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-23970.5%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39220.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
3Bryce HarperRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBryce Harper+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59685.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9809.3%Under-190095.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
4Luis Arraez2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Arraez+27003.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-26872.8%Under+19733.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
5Alec Bohm1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlec Bohm+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-59985.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
6Bryan De La CruzLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBryan De La Cruz+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44381.6%
7Bryson Stott3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBryson Stott+18405.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
8J.T. RealmutoC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.T. Realmuto+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
9Derek HillCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDerek Hill+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44681.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58214.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47482.6%

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+9109.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
2Mike TroutCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+80011.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45917.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
3Wade MecklerLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterWade Meckler+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
4Vaughn Grissom1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
5Moises BallesterosDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMoises Ballesteros+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
6Christian Moore2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37979.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
7Josh LoweRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Lowe+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53415.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9309.7%Under-176094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
8Denzer Guzman3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzer Guzman+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58514.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41080.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41880.7%
9Tyler HeinemanC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Heineman+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54784.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48282.8%

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