MLB matchup

08/28/20269:40 PMSutter Health ParkSacramento, CA84°F · Partly Cloudy

Orioles75 – 80vsAthletics61 – 94

Sharp side

✈️ Orioles -108

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Baltimore Orioles	5.5	54.0%
Athletics	5.2	46.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Baltimore Orioles	B	C	B-
Athletics	C-	C-	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-108-1.5 (+135)

ATH+101+1.5 (-163)

Total 9.5Over -102Under -118

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-115-1.5 (+135)

ATH-105+1.5 (-165)

Total 9.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-110-1.5 (+138)

ATH-103+1.5 (-167)

Total 9.0Over -121Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-111-1.5 (+135)

ATH+101+1.5 (-160)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-109-1.5 (+140)

ATH-101+1.5 (-160)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-115-1.5 (+135)

ATH-105+1.5 (-165)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-108-1.5 (+134)

ATH+100+1.5 (-162)

Total 9.5Over -102Under -118

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-110-1.5 (+145)

ATH+100+1.5 (-155)

Total 9.5Over +105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-111-1.5 (+140)

ATH-102+1.5 (-165)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Baltimore Orioles

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/27/26	@ STL	L 5–7	L -1.5	O 8
8/26/26	@ STL	W 8–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/25/26	@ STL	W 13–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/23/26	vs TB	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/22/26	vs TB	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/21/26	vs TB	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/20/26	vs NYY	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/19/26	vs NYY	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 9
8/18/26	vs NYY	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/17/26	@ TB	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Athletics

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/26/26	vs MIN	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 10.5
8/25/26	vs MIN	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 9.5
8/24/26	vs MIN	L 6–9	L +1.5	O 11.5
8/23/26	@ HOU	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/22/26	@ HOU	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8
8/21/26	@ HOU	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/20/26	@ KC	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
8/19/26	@ KC	L 7–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/18/26	@ KC	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 9
8/17/26	@ KC	L 5–9	L +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Orioles and Athletics
	Statistic
N/A (7.7)	Hits	N/A (8.2)
N/A (1.4)	Doubles	N/A (1.5)
N/A (1.2)	Home Runs	N/A (1.2)
N/A (13.1)	Total Bases	N/A (13.4)
N/A (3.7)	Walks	N/A (3.2)
N/A (9.4)	Strikeouts	N/A (8.6)
N/A (0.5)	Stolen Bases	N/A (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

OriolesBrandon YoungConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10449.0%Under-13256.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%

AthleticsJacob LopezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over+10848.1%Under-13858.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%

Starting lineups

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Blaze AlexanderSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBlaze Alexander+9409.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54584.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-26372.5%Under+19434.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
2Pete AlonsoDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Alonso+52016.1%
Total Bases1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-26772.8%Under+19633.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10551.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
3Jackson Holliday2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Holliday+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58785.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56115.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
4Coby Mayo1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCoby Mayo+56515.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14759.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40020.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17964.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
5Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Encarnacion-Strand+83010.8%
Total Bases1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50383.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42781.0%
6Leody TaverasRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLeody Taveras+23004.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
7Christian FranklinCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Franklin+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
8Dylan BeaversLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Beavers+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
9Carlos NarvaezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Narvaez+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49616.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31275.7%

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+13806.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25571.8%Under+18834.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10249.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
2Jeff McNeil2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+14006.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54784.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-28073.7%Under+20532.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
3Zack Gelof3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+85010.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52915.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+11008.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54484.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23670.2%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
5Tommy White1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTommy White+19404.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37820.9%Under-58085.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-26072.2%Under+19134.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27273.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
6Max MuncyDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58785.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
7Carlos CortesLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Cortes+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36478.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
8Jonah HeimC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJonah Heim+16605.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%
9Alika WilliamsSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlika Williams+31003.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45281.9%

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