MLB matchup
AstrosvsMets
Sharp side
🏠 Mets -139
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 8
Model value
How ratings work:One star marks a lighter model lean; five stars marks the strongest model value. Team strength is shown exclusively as letter grades.
Matchup intelligence
Team grades
| Team | Offense | Defense | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | B | C- | C |
| New York Mets | C+ | B- | B- |
Model forecast
Projected outcome
| Team | Implied | Projected | Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 3.7 | 3.7 | 43.5% |
| New York Mets | 4.2 | 4.3 | 56.5% |
Starting pitcher context
Expected starters
AstrosBennett SousaProbable
MetsNolan McLeanProbable
Total Outs Recorded17.5Over -185Under +139
Total Strikeouts5.5Over -141Under +110
Player availability
Injury report
Astros
- PBrandon BielakUndisclosed60-Day IL
- PBrandon WalterElbow60-Day IL
- 2BBrice MatthewsKnee60-Day IL
- 3BCarlos CorreaAnkle60-Day IL
- PMike BurrowsElbow15-Day IL
Mets
- PCionel PerezForearm15-Day IL
- PDevin WilliamsShoulder15-Day IL
- PFrankie MontasElbowOut
- 2BJorge PolancoAnkle60-Day IL
- PJose MarteShoulder60-Day IL
- OFJuan SotoCalf10-Day IL
- PJustin HagenmanRibs60-Day IL
- 3BMark VientosHand10-Day IL
- PReed GarrettElbow60-Day IL
- PTylor MegillElbow60-Day IL
Sportsbook context
Game lines
A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.
DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+115+1.5 (-175)
NYM-139-1.5 (+144)
Total 8.0Over -105Under -115
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+118+1.5 (-175)
NYM-145-1.5 (+145)
Total 8.0Over -110Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+123+1.5 (-177)
NYM-143-1.5 (+145)
Total 8.0Over -109Under -109
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+128+1.5 (-190)
NYM-138-1.5 (+158)
Total 8.0Over +100Under -120
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+120+1.5 (-167)
NYM-134-1.5 (+147)
Total 8.0Over -110Under -110
Fanatics Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+115+1.5 (-170)
NYM-140-1.5 (+140)
Total 8.0Over -105Under -115
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+122+1.5 (-178)
NYM-144-1.5 (+146)
Total 8.0Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+120+1.5 (-180)
NYM-140-1.5 (+150)
Total 7.5Over -125Under +105
Team comparison
Projected team stats
Projected team statistics are not available for this league yet.
Projection note: Pregame projections do not update during the game. They may inform in-game decisions, but should be used with caution and proper judgment.
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