CFB matchup
New Mexico StatevsFlorida State
Sharp side
✈️ New Mexico State +31.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 53.5
Model value
How ratings work:One star marks a lighter model lean; five stars marks the strongest model value. Team strength is shown exclusively as letter grades.
Matchup intelligence
Team grades
| Team | Offense | Defense | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | D | C- | D+ |
| Florida State Seminoles | B | B | B |
Model forecast
Projected outcome
| Team | Implied | Projected | Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 11.0 | 12.0 | 1.6% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 42.5 | 42.2 | 98.4% |
Sportsbook context
Game lines
A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.
DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+3000+31.5 (-112)
FSU-10000-31.5 (-108)
Total 53.5Over -112Under -108
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+3300+31.5 (-110)
FSU-12500-31.5 (-108)
Total 53.5Over -112Under -105
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU—+32.0 (-110)
FSU—-32.0 (-113)
Total 54.0Over -109Under -114
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+1900+31.5 (-108)
FSU—-31.5 (-112)
Total 53.5Over -112Under -109
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU—+31.0 (-110)
FSU—-31.0 (-110)
Total 53.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+3500+32.5 (-115)
FSU-20000-32.5 (-105)
Total 53.5Over -112Under -108
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+1400+31.5 (-115)
FSU-10000-31.5 (-105)
Total 52.5Over -115Under -105
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+3500+31.5 (-105)
FSU-50000-31.5 (-115)
Total 53.5Over -110Under -110
Team comparison
Projected team stats
| Team stat | New Mexico State | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | N/A | N/A |
| Completions | N/A | N/A |
| Pass Yds | N/A | N/A |
| INTs Thrown | N/A | N/A |
| Rushes | N/A | N/A |
| Rush Yds | N/A | N/A |
| Fumbles Lost | N/A | N/A |
| Penalties | N/A | N/A |
| Penalty Yds | N/A | N/A |
Projection note: Pregame projections do not update during the game. They may inform in-game decisions, but should be used with caution and proper judgment.
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