CFB matchup
09/04/20268:00 PMSpartan StadiumEast Lansing, MI

ToledovsMichigan State

Sharp side
✈️ Toledo +10
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 49.5
Model value

How ratings work:One star marks a lighter model lean; five stars marks the strongest model value. Team strength is shown exclusively as letter grades.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Toledo RocketsCCC
Michigan State SpartansBB-B
Model forecast

Projected outcome

TeamImpliedProjectedWin probability
Toledo Rockets19.822.644.5%
Michigan State Spartans29.824.555.5%
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+310+10.0 (-105)
MSU-395-10.0 (-115)
Total 49.5Over -108Under -112
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+310+10.0 (-108)
MSU-375-10.0 (-110)
Total 49.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+340+10.5 (-114)
MSU-480-10.5 (-109)
Total 49.0Over -113Under -110
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+325+10.0 (-108)
MSU-420-10.0 (-112)
Total 49.5Over -109Under -112
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+350+10.0 (-110)
MSU-435-10.0 (-110)
Total 49.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+330+10.5 (-115)
MSU-430-10.5 (-105)
Total 49.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+325+10.5 (-115)
MSU-450-10.5 (-105)
Total 49.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
TOL+340+10.0 (-110)
MSU-450-10.0 (-110)
Total 49.5Over -110Under -110
Team comparison

Projected team stats

Projected team statistics for Toledo and Michigan State
Team statToledoMichigan State
PassesN/AN/A
CompletionsN/AN/A
Pass YdsN/AN/A
INTs ThrownN/AN/A
RushesN/AN/A
Rush YdsN/AN/A
Fumbles LostN/AN/A
PenaltiesN/AN/A
Penalty YdsN/AN/A

Projection note: Pregame projections do not update during the game. They may inform in-game decisions, but should be used with caution and proper judgment.

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