CFB matchup
09/04/20269:00 PMLos Angeles Memorial ColiseumLos Angeles, CA

Fresno StatevsUSC

Sharp side
✈️ Fresno State +22.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 51.5
Model value

How ratings work:One star marks a lighter model lean; five stars marks the strongest model value. Team strength is shown exclusively as letter grades.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Fresno State BulldogsC-BC+
USC TrojansABA-
Model forecast

Projected outcome

TeamImpliedProjectedWin probability
Fresno State Bulldogs14.015.29.2%
USC Trojans37.533.990.8%
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1400+22.5 (-105)
USC-3200-22.5 (-115)
Total 51.5Over -108Under -112
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1400+23.5 (-110)
USC-2500-23.5 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1200+23.5 (-112)
USC-3335-23.5 (-112)
Total 51.5Over -113Under -110
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1300+23.5 (-113)
USC-3500-23.5 (-105)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1350+23.0 (-110)
USC-2800-23.0 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1280+23.5 (-110)
USC-3500-23.5 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1300+23.5 (-110)
USC-4000-23.5 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+1300+23.5 (-110)
USC-4000-23.5 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
Team comparison

Projected team stats

Projected team statistics for Fresno State and USC
Team statFresno StateUSC
PassesN/AN/A
CompletionsN/AN/A
Pass YdsN/AN/A
INTs ThrownN/AN/A
RushesN/AN/A
Rush YdsN/AN/A
Fumbles LostN/AN/A
PenaltiesN/AN/A
Penalty YdsN/AN/A

Projection note: Pregame projections do not update during the game. They may inform in-game decisions, but should be used with caution and proper judgment.

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