MLB matchup

09/05/20266:40 PMGreat American BallparkCincinnati, OH92°F · Partly sunny

Brewers97 – 58vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

🏠 Reds +129

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	5.0	53.6%
Cincinnati Reds	4.6	46.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	B-	B
Cincinnati Reds	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-156-1.5 (+104)

CIN+129+1.5 (-126)

Total 9.0Over -114Under -106

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-155-1.5 (+105)

CIN+125+1.5 (-125)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-148-1.5 (+112)

CIN+123+1.5 (-136)

Total 9.0Over -122Under -117

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-145-1.5 (+105)

CIN+135+1.5 (-125)

Total 9.0Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-144-1.5 (+105)

CIN+134+1.5 (-125)

Total 9.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-155-1.5 (+105)

CIN+130+1.5 (-125)

Total 9.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-156-1.5 (+105)

CIN+132+1.5 (-126)

Total 9.5Over +112Under -134

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-160-1.5 (+100)

CIN+135+1.5 (-120)

Total 9.5Over +110Under -135

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-152-1.5 (+105)

CIN+134+1.5 (-125)

Total 9.5Over +115Under -135

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U7–2–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/4/26	@ CIN	W 10–7	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/3/26	@ CHC	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ CHC	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ CHC	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 10
8/31/26	@ CHC	L 3–17	L -1.5	O 9.5
8/30/26	vs TEX	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/29/26	vs TEX	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
8/28/26	vs TEX	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/27/26	@ NYM	W 8–2	W -1.5	O 7
8/26/26	@ NYM	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cincinnati Reds

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/4/26	vs MIL	L 7–10	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/2/26	vs SD	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9.5
9/1/26	vs SD	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 9
8/31/26	vs SD	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 9
8/30/26	@ CHC	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 9.5
8/29/26	@ CHC	L 5–17	L +1.5	O 9.5
8/28/26	@ CHC	W 10–8	W +1.5	O 9
8/26/26	@ SF	W 10–9	L -1.5	O 7
8/25/26	@ SF	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/24/26	@ SF	L 0–5	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Reds
	Statistic
8.7 (8.6)	Hits	7.9 (7.5)
1.8 (1.7)	Doubles	1.4 (1.3)
0.9 (0.9)	Home Runs	1.5 (1.3)
13.5 (13.3)	Total Bases	13.9 (13.0)
4.1 (4.0)	Walks	3.7 (3.5)
8.3 (8.3)	Strikeouts	9.4 (9.5)
1.0 (1.0)	Stolen Bases	0.7 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersDustin MayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-10851.9%Under-11854.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

RedsAndrew AbbottConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13858.0%Under+10848.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41580.6%
Total Hits1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10249.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14659.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
2Luis LaraRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Lara+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55784.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-25471.8%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14659.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
3William ContrerasDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+9509.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50283.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-26172.3%Under+19234.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
4Andrew Vaughn1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Vaughn+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16637.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
5Garrett MitchellCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
6Joey Ortiz3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJoey Ortiz+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40919.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20767.4%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
7Cooper PrattSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34622.4%Under-52484.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+31424.2%Under-47082.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
8Gary SanchezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGary Sanchez+9609.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
9David Hamilton2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDavid Hamilton+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58714.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

1Hector RodriguezRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHector Rodriguez+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%
2Elly De La CruzSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterElly De La Cruz+9509.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19365.9%
3Sal Stewart1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Stewart+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55784.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-26772.8%Under+19633.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
4JJ BledayLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJJ Bleday+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25271.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
5Tyler StephensonDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Stephenson+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
6Eugenio Suarez3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEugenio Suarez+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20066.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
7Jose TrevinoC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Trevino+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59314.4%Under-99090.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%
8Carlos JorgeCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Jorge+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58414.6%Under-97090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48382.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
9Matt McLain2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt McLain+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%

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