MLB matchup

09/05/20269:40 PMT-Mobile ParkSeattle, WA

Athletics61 – 94vsMariners72 – 83

Sharp side

🏠 Mariners -245

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Athletics	2.9	34.0%
Seattle Mariners	4.5	66.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Athletics	C-	C	C-
Seattle Mariners	B	B+	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+198+1.5 (-111)

SEA-245-1.5 (-108)

Total 7.5Over -108Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+200+1.5 (-110)

SEA-250-1.5 (-110)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+195+1.5 (-114)

SEA-230-1.5 (-107)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -108

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+210+1.5 (-110)

SEA-240-1.5 (-110)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+213+1.5 (-115)

SEA-235-1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+190+1.5 (-110)

SEA-235-1.5 (-110)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+200+1.5 (-110)

SEA-245-1.5 (-110)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+200+1.5 (-110)

SEA-250-1.5 (-110)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+208+1.5 (-110)

SEA-240-1.5 (-110)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Athletics

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/4/26	@ SEA	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/3/26	@ SEA	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ TEX	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/1/26	@ TEX	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ TEX	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	vs BAL	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 10
8/29/26	vs BAL	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 10
8/28/26	vs BAL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 9.5
8/26/26	vs MIN	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 10.5
8/25/26	vs MIN	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Seattle Mariners

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/4/26	vs ATH	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 7
9/3/26	vs ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ BOS	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ BOS	W 9–6	W -1.5	O 7
8/31/26	@ BOS	L 8–9	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ TOR	L 0–7	L -1.5	U 8
8/29/26	@ TOR	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/28/26	@ TOR	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7
8/26/26	vs PHI	L 0–6	L +1.5	U 7
8/25/26	vs PHI	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Athletics and Mariners
	Statistic
7.2 (8.4)	Hits	8.0 (7.8)
1.3 (1.6)	Doubles	1.4 (1.3)
0.8 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
11.2 (13.9)	Total Bases	13.6 (13.0)
2.9 (3.2)	Walks	3.5 (3.5)
8.8 (8.7)	Strikeouts	8.9 (8.9)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.8 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AthleticsJeffrey SpringsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12744.1%Under-16261.8%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%

MarinersGeorge KirbyConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%

Total Outs Recorded18.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-10451.0%Under-12355.2%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-25371.7%Under+18734.8%

Starting lineups

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48382.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50783.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35122.2%Under-53284.2%
2Jeff McNeil1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45218.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43881.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9409.6%Under-178094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+39920.0%Under-62086.1%
3Zack Gelof3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35077.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32523.5%Under-48883.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47082.5%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55015.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
5Jonah HeimC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJonah Heim+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
6Max MuncyDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45582.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29574.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+37721.0%Under-57785.2%
7Donovan Walton2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDonovan Walton+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55915.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57085.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34622.4%Under-52383.9%
8Alika WilliamsSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlika Williams+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55915.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+38020.8%Under-58485.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+42419.1%Under-67087.0%
9Denzel ClarkeCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzel Clarke+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20667.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+51716.2%Under-84089.4%

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

1Randy ArozarenaLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRandy Arozarena+73012.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34422.5%Under-51983.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-25171.5%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48317.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
2Dominic CanzoneRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDominic Canzone+83010.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39220.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23970.5%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
3Julio RodriguezCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJulio Rodriguez+75011.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54384.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
4Cal RaleighC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCal Raleigh+62013.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
5Josh Naylor1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Naylor+15006.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13757.8%Under-10150.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
6J.P. CrawfordSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.P. Crawford+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49216.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
7Taylor WardDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTaylor Ward+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
8Cole Young2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Young+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
9Weston Wilson3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWeston Wilson+15006.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52516.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9109.9%Under-172094.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%

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