MLB matchup

09/06/202612:10 PMGreat American BallparkCincinnati, OH77°F · Partly sunny

Brewers97 – 58vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

✈️ Brewers -147

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	4.8	61.2%
Cincinnati Reds	3.7	38.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	A-	A-
Cincinnati Reds	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-147-1.5 (+113)

CIN+122+1.5 (-136)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-145-1.5 (+115)

CIN+120+1.5 (-140)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-143-1.5 (+115)

CIN+120+1.5 (-141)

Total 8.5Over -114Under -107

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-145-1.5 (+115)

CIN+135+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-140-1.5 (+115)

CIN+130+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-145-1.5 (+110)

CIN+120+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-146-1.5 (+118)

CIN+124+1.5 (-142)

Total 8.5Over -108Under -112

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-150-1.5 (+115)

CIN+125+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-136-1.5 (+110)

CIN+121+1.5 (-130)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ CIN	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 9
9/4/26	@ CIN	W 10–7	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/3/26	@ CHC	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ CHC	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ CHC	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 10
8/31/26	@ CHC	L 3–17	L -1.5	O 9.5
8/30/26	vs TEX	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/29/26	vs TEX	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
8/28/26	vs TEX	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/27/26	@ NYM	W 8–2	W -1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cincinnati Reds

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs MIL	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 9
9/4/26	vs MIL	L 7–10	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/2/26	vs SD	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9.5
9/1/26	vs SD	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 9
8/31/26	vs SD	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 9
8/30/26	@ CHC	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 9.5
8/29/26	@ CHC	L 5–17	L +1.5	O 9.5
8/28/26	@ CHC	W 10–8	W +1.5	O 9
8/26/26	@ SF	W 10–9	L -1.5	O 7
8/25/26	@ SF	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Reds
	Statistic
8.6 (8.6)	Hits	7.3 (7.6)
1.7 (1.7)	Doubles	1.3 (1.3)
0.9 (0.9)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.3)
13.3 (13.3)	Total Bases	12.3 (13.1)
4.0 (4.0)	Walks	3.4 (3.5)
8.3 (8.3)	Strikeouts	9.5 (9.5)
0.9 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersKyle HarrisonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-13056.5%Under+10249.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%

RedsBrady SingerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-14459.0%Under+11346.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Sal FrelickRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Frelick+14206.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51583.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
2Christian YelichDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Yelich+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39920.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-25671.9%Under+18934.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55715.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
3Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51283.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+18235.5%Under-24771.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%
4Jake Bauers1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Bauers+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58814.5%Under-98090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
5Garrett MitchellCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45718.0%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49516.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20667.3%
6Brice Turang2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrice Turang+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38320.7%Under-58885.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
7Cooper PrattSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%
8Bo NaylorC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBo Naylor+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
9David Hamilton3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDavid Hamilton+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52516.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41780.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

1Dane MyersCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDane Myers+12407.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59285.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36878.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
2Elly De La CruzDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterElly De La Cruz+79011.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38920.4%Under-59985.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
3Sal Stewart1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Stewart+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
4Tyler StephensonC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Stephenson+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
5Eugenio Suarez3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEugenio Suarez+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
6JJ BledayLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJJ Bleday+16805.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55715.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
7Matt McLainSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt McLain+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39479.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21768.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
8Juan Brito2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJuan Brito+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57114.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31923.9%Under-47782.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35878.2%
9Hector RodriguezRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHector Rodriguez+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50183.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33722.9%Under-50983.6%

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