MLB matchup

09/06/20261:10 PMCitizens B ParkPhiladelphia, PA76°F · Mostly sunny

Braves92 – 64vsPhillies86 – 70

Sharp side

🏠 Phillies -110

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Atlanta Braves	3.9	42.6%
Philadelphia Phillies	4.6	57.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Atlanta Braves	B+	B-	B
Philadelphia Phillies	A-	B+	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-110-1.5 (+153)

PHI-110+1.5 (-187)

Total 8.0Over -117Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-110-1.5 (+150)

PHI-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-114-1.5 (+143)

PHI-105+1.5 (-177)

Total 7.5Over -129Under +105

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-105-1.5 (+133)

PHI-105+1.5 (-184)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-104-1.5 (+155)

PHI-106+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-110-1.5 (+150)

PHI-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-106-1.5 (+152)

PHI-110+1.5 (-184)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-110-1.5 (+150)

PHI-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL-110-1.5 (+160)

PHI-110+1.5 (-190)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Braves

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ PHI	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
9/4/26	@ PHI	W 5–2	W -1.5	P 7
9/2/26	@ WSH	W 9–0	W -1.5	U 9.5
9/1/26	@ WSH	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 10
8/31/26	vs SF	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs COL	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/29/26	vs COL	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/28/26	vs COL	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 9
8/27/26	vs LAD	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 6.5
8/26/26	vs LAD	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Philadelphia Phillies

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs ATL	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 8
9/4/26	vs ATL	L 2–5	L +1.5	P 7
9/2/26	@ ARI	L 0–1	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ ARI	W 7–1	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ ARI	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8
8/30/26	@ LAA	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	@ LAA	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/28/26	@ LAA	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/26/26	@ SEA	W 6–0	W -1.5	U 7
8/25/26	@ SEA	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Braves and Phillies
	Statistic
7.7 (8.4)	Hits	8.2 (8.2)
1.4 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.1 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.2)
12.7 (14.0)	Total Bases	13.8 (13.7)
2.8 (3.0)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
8.1 (8.0)	Strikeouts	8.4 (8.4)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.7 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BravesTyler MahleConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-10451.0%Under-12255.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%

PhilliesAaron NolaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-12555.6%Under-10250.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%

Starting lineups

Atlanta BravesConfirmed

1Drake BaldwinDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDrake Baldwin+77011.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18435.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
2Ronald Acuna Jr.RF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRonald Acuna Jr.+89010.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38920.4%Under-59985.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22869.5%
3Matt Olson1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt Olson+67013.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39220.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
4Michael Harris IICF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Harris II+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-26372.5%Under+19334.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43581.3%
5Mauricio DubonSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMauricio Dubon+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48917.0%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9409.6%Under-180094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51483.7%
6Ozzie Albies2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterOzzie Albies+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-194095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
7Sean MurphyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSean Murphy+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40280.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
8Austin Riley3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Riley+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38479.3%
9Mike YastrzemskiLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Yastrzemski+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57014.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45281.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed

1Kyle SchwarberDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Schwarber+52216.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51916.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
2Trea TurnerSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTrea Turner+14006.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36378.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13557.4%Under-10250.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
3Bryce HarperRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBryce Harper+9409.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59085.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13557.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-188094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
4Luis Arraez2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Arraez+25003.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59285.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+19533.9%Under-26572.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17663.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43581.3%
5Alec Bohm1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlec Bohm+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15539.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
6Bryson Stott3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBryson Stott+16805.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
7Brandon MarshLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Marsh+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51316.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9109.9%Under-172094.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35377.9%
8Justin CrawfordCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJustin Crawford+28003.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57314.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55084.6%
9Garrett StubbsC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Stubbs+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49183.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44381.6%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial