MLB matchup

09/06/20261:35 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, PA77°F · Mostly sunny

Angels59 – 95vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

🏠 Pirates -181

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Angels	3.1	32.4%
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.9	67.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	A-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+149+1.5 (-149)

PIT-181-1.5 (+124)

Total 7.0Over -119Under -102

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+150+1.5 (-145)

PIT-185-1.5 (+120)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+143+1.5 (-157)

PIT-175-1.5 (+128)

Total 7.0Over -120Under -121

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+155+1.5 (-150)

PIT-170-1.5 (+126)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+157+1.5 (-150)

PIT-170-1.5 (+130)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+145+1.5 (-150)

PIT-175-1.5 (+125)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+152+1.5 (-152)

PIT-180-1.5 (+126)

Total 7.0Over -120Under -102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+155+1.5 (-145)

PIT-185-1.5 (+120)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+158+1.5 (-150)

PIT-181-1.5 (+125)

Total 7.5Over +115Under -135

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Angels

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs NYY	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	vs NYY	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs NYY	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/30/26	vs PHI	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	vs PHI	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/28/26	vs PHI	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/26/26	vs CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
8/25/26	vs CLE	L 6–8	L +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U2–6–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs LAA	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	vs SF	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs SF	L 4–5	L -1.5	P 9
9/1/26	vs SF	W 13–12	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ STL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	@ STL	W 6–2	W +1.5	P 8
8/28/26	@ STL	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/26/26	@ SD	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/25/26	@ SD	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Angels and Pirates
	Statistic
7.0 (7.7)	Hits	8.7 (8.5)
1.3 (1.4)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
0.9 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
11.0 (12.4)	Total Bases	13.8 (13.5)
2.8 (3.0)	Walks	3.6 (3.5)
9.9 (9.7)	Strikeouts	9.5 (9.5)
0.5 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.8 (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AngelsWalbert UrenaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12444.6%Under-15861.2%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%

PiratesPaul SkenesConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-11353.1%Under-11353.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+9209.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54684.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19265.8%Under+14341.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9809.3%Under-190095.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
2Mike TroutDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+86010.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16462.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
3Wade MecklerRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterWade Meckler+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51516.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35022.2%Under-53084.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
4Vaughn Grissom3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
5Moises Ballesteros1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMoises Ballesteros+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
6Christian Moore2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+18405.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-47082.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28974.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18765.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
7Josh LoweCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Lowe+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53515.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47282.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9809.3%Under-190095.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
8Adam FrazierLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAdam Frazier+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46917.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49583.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46982.4%
9Tyler HeinemanC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Heineman+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58114.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36321.6%Under-55384.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35522.0%Under-53984.4%

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

1Konnor GriffinSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKonnor Griffin+15806.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55684.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-24571.0%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10249.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46182.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
2Brandon Lowe2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Lowe+9509.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-30975.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
3Bryan ReynoldsLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBryan Reynolds+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49283.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
4Nick GonzalesDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Gonzales+26003.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57485.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-27273.1%Under+20033.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16662.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
5Oneil CruzCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterOneil Cruz+9209.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
6Esmerlyn ValdezRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEsmerlyn Valdez+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52915.9%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
7Spencer Horwitz1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Horwitz+19205.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
8Jacob Gonzalez3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Gonzalez+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19633.8%Under-28073.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
9Henry DavisC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Davis+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58514.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44081.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%

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