MLB matchup

09/06/20261:40 PMCiti FieldQueens, NY73°F · Intermittent clouds

Giants64 – 91vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

✈️ Giants +130

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
San Francisco Giants	3.6	40.8%
New York Mets	4.5	59.2%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
San Francisco Giants	D+	D+	D+
New York Mets	B-	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+130+1.5 (-163)

NYM-157-1.5 (+134)

Total 8.0Over -113Under -107

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+140+1.5 (-150)

NYM-170-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+138+1.5 (-152)

NYM-165-1.5 (+123)

Total 7.5Over -121Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+153+1.5 (-145)

NYM-163-1.5 (+122)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+152+1.5 (-145)

NYM-164-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+145+1.5 (-160)

NYM-175-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+146+1.5 (-146)

NYM-174-1.5 (+122)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+135+1.5 (-155)

NYM-170-1.5 (+130)

Total 7.5Over -125Under +105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SF+143+1.5 (-155)

NYM-162-1.5 (+130)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

San Francisco Giants

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ NYM	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ NYM	L 6–10	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/3/26	@ PIT	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	@ PIT	W 5–4	W +1.5	P 9
9/1/26	@ PIT	L 12–13	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ ATL	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9
8/29/26	vs ARI	W 7–2	W +1.5	O 8
8/29/26	vs ARI	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/28/26	vs ARI	L 6–10	L +1.5	O 8
8/27/26	vs ARI	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Mets

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–2–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs SF	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs SF	W 10–6	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ TB	W 10–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/1/26	@ TB	L 2–6	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ TB	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8
8/30/26	vs HOU	L 3–6	L -1.5	P 9
8/29/26	vs HOU	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
8/28/26	vs HOU	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/27/26	vs MIL	L 2–8	L +1.5	O 7
8/26/26	vs MIL	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Giants and Mets
	Statistic
7.6 (8.2)	Hits	8.2 (7.9)
1.5 (1.6)	Doubles	1.3 (1.3)
1.0 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
12.4 (13.5)	Total Bases	13.7 (13.2)
2.8 (2.9)	Walks	3.2 (3.1)
8.2 (8.1)	Strikeouts	8.6 (8.6)
0.4 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

GiantsCesar PerdomoConfirmed

Player props1 market

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-14258.7%Under+11247.2%

MetsChristian ScottConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-18364.7%Under+14341.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%

Starting lineups

San Francisco GiantsConfirmed

1Drew GilbertCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDrew Gilbert+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59085.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32023.8%Under-48082.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-154093.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
2Rafael DeversDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRafael Devers+54615.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
3Bryce Eldridge1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBryce Eldridge+76011.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52715.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
4Jonah Cox2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJonah Cox+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26027.8%Under-38079.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25471.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
5Jung Hoo LeeRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJung Hoo Lee+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10249.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
6Osleivis Basabe3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterOsleivis Basabe+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55115.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-194095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34477.5%
7Grant McCrayLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGrant McCray+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52616.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41880.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+88010.2%Under-164094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
8Drew CavanaughC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDrew Cavanaugh+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51883.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
9Christian KossSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Koss+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33223.1%Under-49983.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46282.2%

New York MetsConfirmed

1Francisco LindorSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterFrancisco Lindor+89010.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52183.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
2Juan SotoDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJuan Soto+88010.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
3Bo Bichette3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBo Bichette+12407.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+18734.8%Under-25471.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16362.0%Under+11845.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42781.0%
4Carson BengeRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Benge+16405.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58785.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25772.0%
5Mark Vientos1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMark Vientos+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
6Marcus Semien2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMarcus Semien+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51216.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-174094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
7Nick MorabitoLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Morabito+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38779.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
8A.J. EwingCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterA.J. Ewing+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59485.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
9Luis TorrensC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Torrens+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%

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