MLB matchup

09/06/20261:40 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, OH73°F · Mostly sunny

Tigers73 – 82vsGuardians80 – 75

Sharp side

✈️ Tigers +141

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Detroit Tigers	3.5	47.1%
Cleveland Guardians	3.8	52.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B
Cleveland Guardians	D+	B+	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+141+1.5 (-162)

CLE-171-1.5 (+134)

Total 7.0Over -105Under -115

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+140+1.5 (-155)

CLE-170-1.5 (+125)

Total 7.0Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+143+1.5 (-157)

CLE-175-1.5 (+128)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -124

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+150+1.5 (-160)

CLE-160-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+150+1.5 (-155)

CLE-162-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.0Over +105Under -125

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+140+1.5 (-160)

CLE-170-1.5 (+130)

Total 7.0Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+140+1.5 (-160)

CLE-166-1.5 (+132)

Total 7.0Over -102Under -120

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+140+1.5 (-155)

CLE-170-1.5 (+130)

Total 6.5Over -140Under +115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+149+1.5 (-160)

CLE-169-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.5Over +120Under -145

Recent form

Last 10 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ MIN	W 11–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ MIN	L 2–15	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	@ MIN	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs LAD	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	vs LAD	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 7
8/28/26	vs LAD	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/26/26	vs TB	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs DET	L 0–6	L -1.5	U 7
9/4/26	vs DET	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs DET	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/3/26	vs TOR	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	vs TOR	L 0–11	L +1.5	O 7
9/1/26	vs TOR	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 8
8/30/26	vs KC	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	vs KC	L 3–8	L -1.5	O 8
8/28/26	vs KC	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/26/26	@ LAA	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and Guardians
	Statistic
7.3 (7.9)	Hits	7.5 (7.8)
1.4 (1.5)	Doubles	1.5 (1.6)
0.9 (1.1)	Home Runs	0.9 (0.9)
11.7 (13.1)	Total Bases	11.9 (12.4)
3.3 (3.5)	Walks	3.4 (3.5)
9.0 (8.9)	Strikeouts	8.1 (8.1)
0.3 (0.3)	Stolen Bases	0.9 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersJackson JobeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13557.4%Under+10648.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%

GuardiansGavin WilliamsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%

Total Strikeouts8.5Over+10947.8%Under-13958.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%

Starting lineups

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigle3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-36978.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15660.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
2Hao-Yu Lee2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHao-Yu Lee+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45218.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
3Colt Keith1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColt Keith+12407.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50516.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43681.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
4Riley GreeneDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRiley Greene+82010.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
5Dillon DinglerC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDillon Dingler+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19065.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
6Brett CallahanLF
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Callahan+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54584.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
7Ben MalgeriRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Malgeri+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54215.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11208.2%Under-230095.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
8Max ClarkCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49616.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20932.4%Under-30075.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18765.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
9John PeckSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Peck+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59114.5%Under-99090.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54584.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34577.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20967.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-152093.8%

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSteven Kwan+32003.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20567.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44381.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
2Travis Bazzana2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTravis Bazzana+13406.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36321.6%Under-55384.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
3Jo AdellRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJo Adell+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54784.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25271.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-188094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
4Nathaniel Lowe1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathaniel Lowe+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59785.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
5Angel MartinezLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAngel Martinez+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57085.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35878.2%
6Angel Genao3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAngel Genao+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34777.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
7Patrick BaileyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPatrick Bailey+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40180.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
8Petey HalpinCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPetey Halpin+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51516.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-168094.4%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrayan Rocchio+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38179.2%

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