MLB matchup

09/06/20262:10 PMKauffman StadiumKansas City, MO94°F · Mostly sunny

Blue Jays77 – 79vsRoyals67 – 89

Sharp side

🏠 Royals +102

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Blue Jays	5.1	52.9%
Kansas City Royals	4.8	47.1%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	C+	C+
Kansas City Royals	C	C-	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-123-1.5 (+128)

KC+102+1.5 (-155)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-120-1.5 (+125)

KC+100+1.5 (-155)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-120-1.5 (+130)

KC+100+1.5 (-159)

Total 9.5Over +102Under -125

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-115-1.5 (+130)

KC+105+1.5 (-155)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-114-1.5 (+135)

KC+104+1.5 (-155)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-125-1.5 (+130)

KC+105+1.5 (-160)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-122-1.5 (+134)

KC+104+1.5 (-162)

Total 9.5Over -102Under -120

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-125-1.5 (+130)

KC+105+1.5 (-160)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-120-1.5 (+130)

KC+107+1.5 (-155)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ KC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/4/26	@ KC	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 10
9/3/26	@ CLE	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ CLE	W 11–0	W -1.5	O 7
9/1/26	@ CLE	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8
8/30/26	vs SEA	W 7–0	W +1.5	U 8
8/29/26	vs SEA	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/28/26	vs SEA	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7
8/27/26	vs KC	L 2–13	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/26/26	vs KC	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Kansas City Royals

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs TOR	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/4/26	vs TOR	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 10
9/3/26	vs MIA	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9
9/2/26	vs MIA	L 6–9	L -1.5	O 9
9/1/26	vs MIA	L 3–6	L +1.5	U 10
8/30/26	@ CLE	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	@ CLE	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8
8/28/26	@ CLE	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/27/26	@ TOR	W 13–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/26/26	@ TOR	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Blue Jays and Royals
	Statistic
9.2 (8.5)	Hits	8.8 (8.4)
1.8 (1.7)	Doubles	2.0 (1.9)
1.2 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
14.8 (13.3)	Total Bases	14.3 (13.7)
3.0 (2.9)	Walks	3.2 (3.1)
7.1 (7.1)	Strikeouts	7.6 (7.7)
0.5 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.8 (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Blue JaysSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-10551.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%

RoyalsRandy DobnakConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-15961.4%Under+12544.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%

Starting lineups

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46782.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+16837.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34777.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-18865.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
2Nathan LukesRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45081.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+15938.6%Under-21468.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-18765.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.DH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48282.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-19466.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
4Jesus SanchezLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31823.9%Under-47682.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
5Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39420.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23970.5%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
6Sean Keys1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
7Josh Smith2B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59585.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
8Andres GimenezSS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41019.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13557.4%Under-10250.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47182.5%
9Brandon ValenzuelaC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

1John RaveRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41780.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
2Bobby Witt Jr.SS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37478.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+16138.3%Under-21768.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
3Vinnie Pasquantino1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47082.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
4Salvador PerezDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52684.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45682.0%
5Josh Rojas3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11008.3%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
6Nick Loftin2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59814.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
7Isaac CollinsLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
8Luke MaileC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53215.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41880.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31575.9%
9Kyle IsbelCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52116.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41380.5%

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