MLB matchup

09/06/20264:10 PMT-Mobile ParkSeattle, WA

Athletics61 – 94vsMariners72 – 83

Sharp side

🏠 Mariners -215

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Athletics	2.8	34.1%
Seattle Mariners	4.4	65.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Athletics	C-	C	C
Seattle Mariners	B+	A-	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+176+1.5 (-127)

SEA-215-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.0Over -117Under -103

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+180+1.5 (-125)

SEA-220-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+170+1.5 (-136)

SEA-200-1.5 (+112)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+188+1.5 (-120)

SEA-208-1.5 (+100)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+184+1.5 (-125)

SEA-200-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+175+1.5 (-125)

SEA-215-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+184+1.5 (-126)

SEA-220-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+175+1.5 (-125)

SEA-220-1.5 (+105)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -130

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+186+1.5 (-130)

SEA-212-1.5 (+110)

Total 7.5Over +115Under -135

Recent form

Last 10 games

Athletics

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ SEA	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	@ SEA	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/3/26	@ SEA	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ TEX	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/1/26	@ TEX	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ TEX	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	vs BAL	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 10
8/29/26	vs BAL	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 10
8/28/26	vs BAL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 9.5
8/26/26	vs MIN	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 10.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Seattle Mariners

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs ATH	L 2–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	vs ATH	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 7
9/3/26	vs ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ BOS	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ BOS	W 9–6	W -1.5	O 7
8/31/26	@ BOS	L 8–9	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ TOR	L 0–7	L -1.5	U 8
8/29/26	@ TOR	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/28/26	@ TOR	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7
8/26/26	vs PHI	L 0–6	L +1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Athletics and Mariners
	Statistic
7.2 (8.4)	Hits	7.9 (7.8)
1.3 (1.6)	Doubles	1.3 (1.3)
0.8 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
11.1 (13.9)	Total Bases	13.4 (13.0)
2.9 (3.2)	Walks	3.5 (3.5)
8.8 (8.6)	Strikeouts	8.9 (8.9)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.8 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AthleticsGage JumpConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-11453.3%Under-11152.6%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%

MarinersBryan WooConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-10250.5%Under-12555.6%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16737.5%

Starting lineups

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34622.4%Under-52484.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28426.0%Under-42080.8%
2Jeff McNeil1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+14206.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37721.0%Under-57985.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35522.0%Under-54084.4%
3Zack Gelof3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49216.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-166094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
5Carlos CortesLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Cortes+12407.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53515.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41380.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59585.6%
6Max MuncyDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55815.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45281.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54584.5%
7Donovan Walton2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDonovan Walton+16605.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55015.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51283.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
8Alika WilliamsSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlika Williams+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-120092.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42981.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
9Brian ServenC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrian Serven+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
Total Hits0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

1Randy ArozarenaLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRandy Arozarena+88010.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34422.5%Under-51983.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
2Dominic CanzoneRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDominic Canzone+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39220.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
3Julio RodriguezCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJulio Rodriguez+81011.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56084.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
4Cal RaleighDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCal Raleigh+74011.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
5J.P. CrawfordSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.P. Crawford+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13557.4%
6Josh Naylor1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Naylor+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52316.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
7Weston Wilson3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWeston Wilson+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54715.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
8Michael Arroyo2B
9Jhonny PeredaC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJhonny Pereda+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55915.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%

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