MLB matchup

09/06/20266:20 PMRate FieldChicago, IL75°F · Mostly sunny

Twins70 – 79vsWhite Sox76 – 73

Sharp side

✈️ Twins +120

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Minnesota Twins	4.7	56.6%
Chicago White Sox	4.1	43.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Minnesota Twins	C	B-	C+
Chicago White Sox	C	D+	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+120+1.5 (-177)

CHW-144-1.5 (+146)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+125+1.5 (-170)

CHW-150-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+130+1.5 (-175)

CHW-148-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -109Under -109

Caesars Sportsbook

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+130+1.5 (-165)

CHW-140-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+132+1.5 (-155)

CHW-142-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

Fanatics Sportsbook

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+120+1.5 (-170)

CHW-145-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+124+1.5 (-172)

CHW-146-1.5 (+142)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+125+1.5 (-175)

CHW-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+125+1.5 (-175)

CHW-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Minnesota Twins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ CHW	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ CHW	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs DET	L 6–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs DET	W 15–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	vs DET	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs CHW	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 9
8/29/26	vs CHW	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 9
8/28/26	vs CHW	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 9
8/26/26	@ ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 10.5
8/25/26	@ ATH	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ HOU	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ HOU	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/31/26	@ HOU	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/30/26	@ MIN	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 9
8/29/26	@ MIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 9
8/28/26	@ MIN	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 9
8/26/26	vs TEX	W 10–4	W -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Twins and White Sox
	Statistic
8.4 (8.3)	Hits	7.4 (7.8)
1.7 (1.6)	Doubles	1.4 (1.5)
1.2 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.3)
13.9 (13.7)	Total Bases	12.4 (13.2)
3.2 (3.2)	Walks	3.3 (3.5)
8.1 (8.2)	Strikeouts	9.1 (9.1)
0.7 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TwinsBailey OberConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11353.1%Under-11854.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13757.8%Under+10848.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

White SoxBryan HudsonConfirmed

Starting lineups

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35522.0%Under-53984.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24671.1%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10449.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
2Brooks Lee3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38320.7%Under-58885.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
3Ryan JeffersC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59185.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
4Josh BellDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
5Kody Clemens2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35578.0%
6Royce Lewis1B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
7Trevor LarnachLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
8Kaelen CulpepperSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49216.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45582.0%
9Walker JenkinsCF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51716.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41580.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam AntonacciLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
2Miguel Vargas3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55884.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
3Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
4Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43681.3%
5Colson MontgomerySS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
6Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-36978.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
7Tristan PetersCF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52815.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19265.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-154093.9%
8Chase Meidroth2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47817.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36178.3%
9Kyle TeelC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33376.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%

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