MLB matchup

09/06/202610:10 PMDodger StadiumLos Angeles, CA77°F · Partly sunny

Nationals73 – 82vsDodgers95 – 60

Sharp side

🏠 Dodgers -199

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Washington Nationals	3.3	28.6%
Los Angeles Dodgers	5.5	71.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Washington Nationals	C	C-	C
Los Angeles Dodgers	A+	A-	A+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+163+1.5 (-127)

LAD-199-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -115

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+165+1.5 (-135)

LAD-200-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+175+1.5 (-136)

LAD-205-1.5 (+112)

Total 8.5Over -103Under -118

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+170+1.5 (-120)

LAD-190-1.5 (+100)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+169+1.5 (-130)

LAD-183-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+165+1.5 (-125)

LAD-200-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+172+1.5 (-132)

LAD-205-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over +102Under -124

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+170+1.5 (-125)

LAD-200-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+166+1.5 (-130)

LAD-189-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Washington Nationals

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	@ LAD	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/4/26	@ LAD	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
9/2/26	vs ATL	L 0–9	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/1/26	vs ATL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 10
8/31/26	vs MIA	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/30/26	vs MIA	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 9.5
8/29/26	vs MIA	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8
8/28/26	vs MIA	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/27/26	vs COL	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
8/26/26	vs COL	L 1–13	L -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/5/26	vs WSH	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7
9/4/26	vs WSH	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
9/3/26	vs STL	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/2/26	vs STL	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 8
9/1/26	vs STL	L 8–13	L -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	@ DET	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	@ DET	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7
8/28/26	@ DET	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/27/26	@ ATL	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 6.5
8/26/26	@ ATL	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Nationals and Dodgers
	Statistic
7.1 (8.4)	Hits	9.2 (8.7)
1.4 (1.7)	Doubles	1.7 (1.6)
1.0 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.4 (1.3)
11.8 (14.5)	Total Bases	15.5 (14.4)
2.9 (3.3)	Walks	3.8 (3.7)
8.6 (8.6)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.0)
0.9 (1.0)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

NationalsAndrew AlvarezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-12255.0%Under-10551.2%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%

DodgersJustin WrobleskiConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

Total Outs Recorded12.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+11047.6%Under-14158.5%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%

Starting lineups

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1James WoodDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJames Wood+77011.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
2Dylan CrewsRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+88010.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
3Andres Chaparro1B
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Chaparro+71012.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51516.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31923.9%Under-47882.7%
4CJ Abrams2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+12407.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38279.3%
5Brady House3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrady House+11008.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17463.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51283.7%
6Daylen LileLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46182.2%
7Harry FordC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHarry Ford+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47582.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20932.4%Under-30075.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39679.8%
8Jacob YoungCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45381.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49883.3%
9Nasim NunezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNasim Nunez+57001.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54415.5%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55784.8%

Los Angeles DodgersConfirmed

1Tommy EdmanCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTommy Edman+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49383.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+18535.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16161.7%Under+11646.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
2Mookie BettsSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMookie Betts+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53684.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-26272.4%Under+19334.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
3Will SmithC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWill Smith+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50383.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-25171.5%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
4Freddie Freeman1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterFreddie Freeman+15206.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23970.5%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
5Teoscar HernandezLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTeoscar Hernandez+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55684.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15738.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
6Kyle TuckerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Tucker+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
7Miguel Rojas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Rojas+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
8Max MuncyDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51316.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
9Enrique Hernandez3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEnrique Hernandez+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%

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