MLB matchup

09/07/20261:35 PMFenway ParkBoston, MA73°F · Mostly sunny

Angels60 – 95vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side

🏠 Red Sox -181

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Angels	3.9	39.5%
Boston Red Sox	4.9	60.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-
Boston Red Sox	B-	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+149+1.5 (-144)

BOS-181-1.5 (+119)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -115

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+145+1.5 (-145)

BOS-180-1.5 (+118)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+155+1.5 (-141)

BOS-177-1.5 (+117)

Total 8.0Over -117Under -104

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+159+1.5 (-140)

BOS-174-1.5 (+118)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+155+1.5 (-143)

BOS-167-1.5 (+123)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+145+1.5 (-150)

BOS-175-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+146+1.5 (-146)

BOS-174-1.5 (+122)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -115

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+145+1.5 (-145)

BOS-175-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+155+1.5 (-150)

BOS-177-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Angels

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs NYY	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	vs NYY	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs NYY	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/30/26	vs PHI	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	vs PHI	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/28/26	vs PHI	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/26/26	vs CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Red Sox

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	@ BAL	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ BAL	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ BAL	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 8
9/3/26	@ BAL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/2/26	vs SEA	L 3–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs SEA	L 6–9	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs SEA	W 9–8	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ NYY	L 1–16	L -1.5	O 8
8/29/26	@ NYY	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 7
8/29/26	@ NYY	W 6–0	W -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Angels and Red Sox
	Statistic
7.6 (7.7)	Hits	8.8 (8.4)
1.4 (1.4)	Doubles	1.9 (1.8)
1.0 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
12.2 (12.3)	Total Bases	14.3 (13.5)
3.0 (3.0)	Walks	3.3 (3.2)
9.7 (9.7)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.2)
0.6 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.8 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AngelsGrayson RodriguezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11353.1%Under-11353.1%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+13542.6%Under-18164.4%

Red SoxBrayan BelloConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10349.3%Under-13256.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+9609.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48917.0%Under-79088.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
2Mike TroutDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+90010.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42419.1%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9609.4%Under-186094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
3Wade MecklerLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWade Meckler+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+86010.4%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
4Vaughn Grissom3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25471.8%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15160.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31624.0%Under-47282.5%
5Moises Ballesteros1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMoises Ballesteros+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38479.3%
6Christian Moore2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37979.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33677.1%
7Josh LoweRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Lowe+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40580.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51983.8%
8Kyren ParisCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyren Paris+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53415.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43881.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58714.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47182.5%
9Tyler HeinemanC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Heineman+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52616.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

1Roman AnthonyDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRoman Anthony+83010.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
2Mickey Gasper1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMickey Gasper+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37221.2%Under-56985.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
3Adley RutschmanC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAdley Rutschman+12407.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33822.8%Under-51183.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
4Wilyer AbreuRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilyer Abreu+75011.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
5Trevor StorySS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTrevor Story+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40020.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
6Caleb Durbin3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCaleb Durbin+19205.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37721.0%Under-57885.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11753.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
7Jarren DuranLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJarren Duran+9709.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42419.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-174094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIsiah Kiner-Falefa+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49316.9%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28426.0%Under-41980.7%
9Eli WhiteCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEli White+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%

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