MLB matchup

09/07/20263:10 PMComerica ParkDetroit, MI78°F · Sunny

Twins72 – 82vsTigers73 – 82

Sharp side

✈️ Twins +102

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Minnesota Twins	3.7	48.8%
Detroit Tigers	3.8	51.2%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Minnesota Twins	C	B+	B-
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+102+1.5 (-198)

DET-123-1.5 (+162)

Total 8.0Over -101Under -119

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+100-1.5 (+170)

DET-120+1.5 (-210)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+102+1.5 (-215)

DET-122-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -104

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+110+1.5 (-190)

DET-121-1.5 (+158)

Total 8.0Over +105Under -125

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+105-1.5 (+170)

DET-115+1.5 (-195)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+100-1.5 (+165)

DET-120+1.5 (-205)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN-102-1.5 (+155)

DET-116+1.5 (-188)

Total 7.5Over -122Under +100

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+100+1.5 (-220)

DET-120-1.5 (+175)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+107-1.5 (+170)

DET-120+1.5 (-215)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Minnesota Twins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	@ CHW	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CHW	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ CHW	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs DET	L 6–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs DET	W 15–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	vs DET	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs CHW	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 9
8/29/26	vs CHW	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 9
8/28/26	vs CHW	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 9
8/26/26	@ ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 10.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Tigers

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ MIN	W 11–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ MIN	L 2–15	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	@ MIN	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs LAD	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	vs LAD	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 7
8/28/26	vs LAD	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Twins and Tigers
	Statistic
7.6 (8.2)	Hits	7.6 (7.9)
1.5 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.0 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.1)
12.4 (13.7)	Total Bases	12.3 (13.1)
2.9 (3.2)	Walks	3.4 (3.5)
8.4 (8.2)	Strikeouts	9.0 (9.0)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.3 (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TwinsJoe RyanConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%

Total Outs Recorded11.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-11553.5%Under-11152.6%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%

TigersTroy MeltonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10848.1%Under-13757.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%

Starting lineups

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLuke Keaschall+14806.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35621.9%Under-54084.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
2Brooks Lee3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrooks Lee+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35122.2%Under-53284.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
3Kody Clemens2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKody Clemens+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48482.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21668.4%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
4Ryan JeffersC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRyan Jeffers+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56685.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
5Josh BellDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Bell+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57485.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
6Royce Lewis1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRoyce Lewis+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45018.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
7Trevor LarnachLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTrevor Larnach+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37178.8%
8Kaelen CulpepperSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKaelen Culpepper+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46917.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40480.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33223.1%Under-50083.3%
9Walker JenkinsCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWalker Jenkins+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42781.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Colt KeithDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColt Keith+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54715.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
2Kevin McGonigle3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+9509.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
3Gleyber Torres2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGleyber Torres+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40120.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
4Riley GreeneLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRiley Greene+83010.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
5Dillon DinglerC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDillon Dingler+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35422.0%Under-53884.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
6Zach McKinstryRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZach McKinstry+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48817.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
7Spencer Torkelson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Torkelson+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
8Max ClarkCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44018.5%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35878.2%
9John PeckSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Peck+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27573.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49183.1%

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