MLB matchup

09/07/20269:10 PMDodger StadiumLos Angeles, CA86°F · Showers

Reds72 – 83vsDodgers95 – 60

Sharp side

🏠 Dodgers -181

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cincinnati Reds	3.3	34.2%
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.9	65.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Cincinnati Reds	C	B	C+
Los Angeles Dodgers	A+	A-	A+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+149+1.5 (-143)

LAD-181-1.5 (+119)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -115

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+145+1.5 (-145)

LAD-175-1.5 (+120)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+150+1.5 (-141)

LAD-182-1.5 (+115)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -117

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+154+1.5 (-145)

LAD-164-1.5 (+122)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+159+1.5 (-140)

LAD-172-1.5 (+120)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+150+1.5 (-150)

LAD-180-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+140+1.5 (-156)

LAD-166-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+150+1.5 (-145)

LAD-180-1.5 (+120)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+149+1.5 (-150)

LAD-169-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cincinnati Reds

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	vs MIL	W 12–8	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIL	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 9
9/4/26	vs MIL	L 7–10	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/2/26	vs SD	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9.5
9/1/26	vs SD	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 9
8/31/26	vs SD	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 9
8/30/26	@ CHC	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 9.5
8/29/26	@ CHC	L 5–17	L +1.5	O 9.5
8/28/26	@ CHC	W 10–8	W +1.5	O 9
8/26/26	@ SF	W 10–9	L -1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	vs WSH	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs WSH	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7
9/4/26	vs WSH	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
9/3/26	vs STL	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/2/26	vs STL	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 8
9/1/26	vs STL	L 8–13	L -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	@ DET	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	@ DET	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7
8/28/26	@ DET	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/27/26	@ ATL	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Reds and Dodgers
	Statistic
7.0 (7.6)	Hits	8.6 (8.7)
1.2 (1.4)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.1 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
11.6 (13.1)	Total Bases	14.3 (14.4)
3.3 (3.6)	Walks	3.7 (3.7)
9.5 (9.5)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.0)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RedsChase BurnsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%

Total Outs Recorded11.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-15060.0%Under+11746.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

DodgersEmmet SheehanConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over+10648.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%

Starting lineups

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

1Hector RodriguezRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHector Rodriguez+10009.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46117.8%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
2Elly De La CruzSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterElly De La Cruz+83010.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46582.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16161.7%
3Sal Stewart1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Stewart+83010.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39820.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
4JJ BledayLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJJ Bleday+9809.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
5Tyler StephensonC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Stephenson+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
6Eugenio SuarezDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEugenio Suarez+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54515.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
7Matt McLain2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt McLain+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42581.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
8Carlos JorgeCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Jorge+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59914.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50683.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
9Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKe'Bryan Hayes+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54384.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%

Los Angeles DodgersConfirmed

1Shohei OhtaniDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterShohei Ohtani+61014.1%
Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55984.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-24571.0%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56415.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
2Freddie Freeman1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterFreddie Freeman+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44681.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+19933.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10851.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
3Tommy Edman2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTommy Edman+17805.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37820.9%Under-57985.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22569.2%Under+16737.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
4Max Muncy3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+9109.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25271.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
5Teoscar HernandezLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTeoscar Hernandez+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
6Kyle TuckerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Tucker+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
7Hunter FeducciaC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHunter Feduccia+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55115.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
8Alex CallCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Call+28003.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48817.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41080.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
9Alex FreelandSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Freeland+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%

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