MLB matchup

09/07/202610:05 PMSutter Health ParkSacramento, CA84°F · Partly Cloudy

Blue Jays76 – 79vsAthletics61 – 94

Sharp side

🏠 Athletics +177

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Blue Jays	5.4	62.4%
Athletics	4.2	37.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	A-	B
Athletics	C-	C-	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-217-1.5 (-127)

ATH+177+1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-220-1.5 (-130)

ATH+180+1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-220-1.5 (-125)

ATH+180+1.5 (+104)

Total 7.5Over -117Under -105

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-203-1.5 (-125)

ATH+183+1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-195-1.5 (-125)

ATH+180+1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-215-1.5 (-125)

ATH+175+1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-210-1.5 (-128)

ATH+176+1.5 (+108)

Total 8.5Over +104Under -128

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-210-1.5 (-125)

ATH+175+1.5 (+105)

Total 7.5Over -125Under +105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-203-1.5 (-130)

ATH+177+1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	@ KC	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/5/26	@ KC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/4/26	@ KC	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 10
9/3/26	@ CLE	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ CLE	W 11–0	W -1.5	O 7
9/1/26	@ CLE	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8
8/30/26	vs SEA	W 7–0	W +1.5	U 8
8/29/26	vs SEA	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/28/26	vs SEA	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7
8/27/26	vs KC	L 2–13	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Athletics

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	@ SEA	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ SEA	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	@ SEA	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/3/26	@ SEA	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ TEX	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/1/26	@ TEX	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ TEX	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	vs BAL	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 10
8/29/26	vs BAL	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 10
8/28/26	vs BAL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Blue Jays and Athletics
	Statistic
9.5 (8.5)	Hits	8.2 (8.3)
1.8 (1.7)	Doubles	1.5 (1.6)
1.3 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.2)
15.3 (13.3)	Total Bases	13.4 (13.7)
3.0 (2.8)	Walks	3.1 (3.2)
7.0 (7.1)	Strikeouts	8.7 (8.6)
0.5 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Blue JaysDylan CeaseConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%

Total Strikeouts7.5Over-10350.7%Under-12455.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14859.7%Under+11247.2%

AthleticsJacob LopezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10249.5%Under-13056.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%

Starting lineups

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Bateman+22004.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+15938.6%Under-21468.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
2George SpringerDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32623.5%Under-49083.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+19334.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11152.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+66013.2%
Total Bases1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49883.3%
Total Hits1.5Over+18535.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
4Alejandro KirkC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlejandro Kirk+9809.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59385.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-26672.7%Under+19533.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13357.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
5Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+65013.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55084.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
6Nathan LukesRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Lukes+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47917.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
7Ernie Clement2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterErnie Clement+16405.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56084.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-27373.2%Under+20033.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35377.9%
8Andres GimenezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Gimenez+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
9Myles StrawLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMyles Straw+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52616.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43981.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
2Jeff McNeil1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39779.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%
3Zack Gelof3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30975.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53015.9%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55015.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
5Carlos CortesLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Cortes+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
6Max MuncyDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52915.9%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48182.8%
7Donovan Walton2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDonovan Walton+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55815.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35022.2%Under-53184.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
8Alika WilliamsSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlika Williams+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58814.5%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49083.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
9Jonah HeimC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJonah Heim+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44481.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42981.1%

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