MLB matchup

09/08/20266:40 PMComerica ParkDetroit, MI79°F · Mostly cloudy

Twins72 – 83vsTigers73 – 82

Sharp side

🏠 Tigers -136

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Minnesota Twins	3.8	43.3%
Detroit Tigers	4.5	56.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Minnesota Twins	C	C+	C+
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+113+1.5 (-186)

DET-136-1.5 (+153)

Total 8.5Over -108Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+110+1.5 (-190)

DET-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+118+1.5 (-177)

DET-141-1.5 (+143)

Total 8.5Over -113Under -109

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+120+1.5 (-190)

DET-130-1.5 (+158)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+117+1.5 (-180)

DET-127-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+115+1.5 (-190)

DET-140-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+110+1.5 (-196)

DET-130-1.5 (+162)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+115+1.5 (-190)

DET-140-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+118+1.5 (-190)

DET-134-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Minnesota Twins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/7/26	@ DET	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CHW	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CHW	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ CHW	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs DET	L 6–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs DET	W 15–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	vs DET	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs CHW	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 9
8/29/26	vs CHW	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 9
8/28/26	vs CHW	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Tigers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/7/26	vs MIN	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ MIN	W 11–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ MIN	L 2–15	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	@ MIN	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs LAD	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	vs LAD	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Twins and Tigers
	Statistic
7.7 (8.2)	Hits	8.1 (8.0)
1.5 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.1 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
12.5 (13.7)	Total Bases	13.5 (13.1)
3.0 (3.2)	Walks	3.5 (3.4)
8.3 (8.2)	Strikeouts	9.0 (9.0)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.3 (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TwinsDean KremerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-10651.5%Under-12054.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%

TigersDrew AndersonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-13256.9%Under+10449.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%

Starting lineups

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLuke Keaschall+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49583.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-27073.0%Under+19833.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
2Brooks Lee3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrooks Lee+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39920.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%
3Kody Clemens2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKody Clemens+82010.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50683.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40480.2%
4Ryan JeffersC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRyan Jeffers+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35522.0%Under-53984.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-19766.3%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
5Josh BellDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Bell+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
6Royce Lewis1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRoyce Lewis+9509.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52915.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37679.0%
7Trevor LarnachLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTrevor Larnach+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51316.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43681.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
8Kaelen CulpepperSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKaelen Culpepper+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47482.6%
9Walker JenkinsCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWalker Jenkins+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53215.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigleSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58185.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
2Gleyber Torres2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGleyber Torres+17005.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-24671.1%Under+18235.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14859.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
3Colt Keith1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColt Keith+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
4Riley GreeneDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRiley Greene+77011.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
5Eduardo ValenciaC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEduardo Valencia+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33977.2%
6Brett CallahanLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Callahan+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
7Max ClarkCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
8Hao-Yu Lee3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHao-Yu Lee+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45917.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
9Zach McKinstryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterZach McKinstry+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%

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