MLB matchup

09/08/20266:45 PMFenway ParkBoston, MA73°F · Mostly sunny

Angels60 – 95vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side

🏠 Red Sox -149

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Angels	3.5	37.3%
Boston Red Sox	4.8	62.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-
Boston Red Sox	B-	B+	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+123+1.5 (-181)

BOS-149-1.5 (+149)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+125+1.5 (-175)

BOS-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+125+1.5 (-195)

BOS-141-1.5 (+155)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+131+1.5 (-165)

BOS-141-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+127+1.5 (-170)

BOS-137-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+125+1.5 (-180)

BOS-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+122+1.5 (-176)

BOS-144-1.5 (+146)

Total 7.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+125+1.5 (-175)

BOS-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+126+1.5 (-175)

BOS-142-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Angels

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/7/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs NYY	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	vs NYY	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs NYY	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/30/26	vs PHI	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	vs PHI	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/28/26	vs PHI	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Red Sox

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/7/26	vs LAA	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ BAL	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ BAL	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ BAL	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 8
9/3/26	@ BAL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/2/26	vs SEA	L 3–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs SEA	L 6–9	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs SEA	W 9–8	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ NYY	L 1–16	L -1.5	O 8
8/29/26	@ NYY	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Angels and Red Sox
	Statistic
7.3 (7.7)	Hits	8.7 (8.4)
1.3 (1.4)	Doubles	1.9 (1.8)
0.9 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
11.6 (12.3)	Total Bases	14.1 (13.6)
2.9 (3.0)	Walks	3.3 (3.2)
9.8 (9.7)	Strikeouts	8.1 (8.2)
0.6 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.7 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AngelsReid DetmersConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-14258.7%Under+11147.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%

Red SoxPatrick SandovalConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-15160.2%Under+11845.9%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+15139.8%Under-20367.0%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+84010.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57585.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
2Mike TroutCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+86010.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
3Jose SiriRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Siri+9509.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51716.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
4Vaughn Grissom1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
5Moises BallesterosDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMoises Ballesteros+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
6Christian Moore2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-182094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
7Kyren ParisLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyren Paris+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29174.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58114.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
8Denzer Guzman3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzer Guzman+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28426.0%Under-42080.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27273.1%
9Travis d'ArnaudC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTravis d'Arnaud+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55684.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

1Roman AnthonyLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRoman Anthony+14006.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-24571.0%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13757.8%Under-10150.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
2Jahmai JonesDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJahmai Jones+67013.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34477.5%
3Wilyer AbreuRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterWilyer Abreu+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54384.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
4Trevor StorySS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTrevor Story+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-59985.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
5Nick Sogard1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Sogard+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-138093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
6Caleb Durbin3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCaleb Durbin+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20967.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57614.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
7Andruw Monasterio2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndruw Monasterio+15006.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49683.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30975.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
8Eli WhiteCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEli White+16805.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37679.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32523.5%Under-48783.0%
9Connor WongC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterConnor Wong+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44781.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29174.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial