MLB matchup

09/08/20267:40 PMRate FieldChicago, IL83°F · Partly sunny

Pirates78 – 77vsWhite Sox79 – 76

Sharp side

✈️ Pirates +119

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.8	53.5%
Chicago White Sox	4.4	46.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Chicago White Sox	C	C-	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+119+1.5 (-175)

CHW-144-1.5 (+144)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+120+1.5 (-175)

CHW-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+123+1.5 (-186)

CHW-139-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.0Over -117Under -104

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+125+1.5 (-170)

CHW-135-1.5 (+143)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+125+1.5 (-165)

CHW-135-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+120+1.5 (-185)

CHW-145-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+124+1.5 (-178)

CHW-146-1.5 (+146)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+125+1.5 (-175)

CHW-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+123+1.5 (-175)

CHW-139-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U2–6–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs LAA	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	vs SF	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs SF	L 4–5	L -1.5	P 9
9/1/26	vs SF	W 13–12	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ STL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	@ STL	W 6–2	W +1.5	P 8
8/28/26	@ STL	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/26/26	@ SD	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ HOU	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ HOU	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/31/26	@ HOU	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/30/26	@ MIN	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 9
8/29/26	@ MIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 9
8/28/26	@ MIN	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and White Sox
	Statistic
8.6 (8.5)	Hits	7.6 (7.8)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.1 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.3)
13.7 (13.5)	Total Bases	13.0 (13.3)
3.6 (3.5)	Walks	3.4 (3.5)
9.4 (9.4)	Strikeouts	9.2 (9.1)
0.8 (0.8)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesBubba ChandlerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-10551.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%

White SoxSean BurkeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-12255.0%Under-10551.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

1Konnor GriffinSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKonnor Griffin+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59385.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32876.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32276.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
2Brandon Lowe2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Lowe+74011.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
3Bryan ReynoldsDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBryan Reynolds+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37221.2%Under-56985.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
4Oneil CruzCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterOneil Cruz+77011.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52915.9%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15660.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22869.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17463.5%
5Esmerlyn ValdezRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEsmerlyn Valdez+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30375.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
6Spencer Horwitz1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Horwitz+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52116.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23770.3%
7Rafael Flores Jr.C
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRafael Flores Jr.+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
8Jacob Gonzalez3B
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Gonzalez+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51716.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
9Jake MangumLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Mangum+36002.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51516.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46582.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam AntonacciLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSam Antonacci+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40719.7%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19265.8%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
2Miguel Vargas3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Vargas+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34922.3%Under-53084.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14959.8%
3Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMunetaka Murakami+77011.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
4Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Benintendi+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25271.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
5Colson MontgomerySS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColson Montgomery+9709.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
6Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBraden Montgomery+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48917.0%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
7Tristan PetersCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTristan Peters+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-59985.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
8Chase Meidroth2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+44002.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47017.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37979.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25772.0%
9Kyle TeelC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Teel+15206.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55915.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-30975.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%

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