MLB matchup

09/09/20261:10 PMComerica ParkDetroit, MI77°F · Thunderstorms

Twins72 – 83vsTigers73 – 82

Sharp side

✈️ Twins +108

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Minnesota Twins	3.9	45.5%
Detroit Tigers	4.3	54.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Minnesota Twins	C	B-	C+
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+108+1.5 (-193)

DET-130-1.5 (+159)

Total 8.5Over -112Under -108

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+105+1.5 (-210)

DET-125-1.5 (+170)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+106+1.5 (-200)

DET-127-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -108Under -113

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+105-1.5 (+152)

DET-125+1.5 (-214)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+110+1.5 (-190)

DET-120-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+100-1.5 (+160)

DET-120+1.5 (-200)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+108+1.5 (-210)

DET-126-1.5 (+172)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+105+1.5 (-200)

DET-125-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIN+105-1.5 (+165)

DET-125+1.5 (-200)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Minnesota Twins

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	@ DET	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	@ DET	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CHW	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CHW	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ CHW	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs DET	L 6–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs DET	W 15–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	vs DET	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs CHW	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 9
8/29/26	vs CHW	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Tigers

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	vs MIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	vs MIN	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ MIN	W 11–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ MIN	L 2–15	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	@ MIN	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs LAD	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Twins and Tigers
	Statistic
7.7 (8.2)	Hits	8.0 (7.9)
1.5 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.1 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
12.7 (13.6)	Total Bases	13.3 (13.1)
3.0 (3.2)	Walks	3.5 (3.4)
8.2 (8.1)	Strikeouts	9.0 (9.0)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.3 (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TwinsZebby MatthewsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10548.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%

TigersKeider MonteroConfirmed

Player props4 markets

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over+12145.2%Under-15560.8%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17536.4%

Starting lineups

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLuke Keaschall+14406.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44881.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+18235.5%Under-24771.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11546.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
2Brooks Lee3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrooks Lee+85010.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39820.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10651.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
3Kody Clemens2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKody Clemens+69012.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-174094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
4Josh BellDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Bell+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50683.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23670.2%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
5Kaelen CulpepperSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKaelen Culpepper+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%
6Trevor LarnachLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTrevor Larnach+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49616.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
7Royce Lewis1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRoyce Lewis+9909.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41019.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49683.2%
8Victor CaratiniC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVictor Caratini+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39002.5%Under-1000099.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
9Walker JenkinsCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWalker Jenkins+19205.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17163.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigle3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+9809.3%
Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45381.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+18135.6%Under-24571.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
2Hao-Yu Lee2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterHao-Yu Lee+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20767.4%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
3Colt Keith1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterColt Keith+11807.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-13056.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
4Riley GreeneDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRiley Greene+85010.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37221.2%Under-56985.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
5Dillon DinglerC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDillon Dingler+12807.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36321.6%Under-55384.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
6Brett CallahanLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Callahan+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39479.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10808.5%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
7Max ClarkCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-196095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%
8Ben MalgeriRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Malgeri+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51716.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-198095.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
9John PeckSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Peck+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54015.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9309.7%Under-178094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43381.2%

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