MLB matchup

09/09/20266:45 PMFenway ParkBoston, MA80°F · Showers

Angels59 – 95vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side

🏠 Red Sox -223

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Angels	3.5	28.9%
Boston Red Sox	5.6	71.1%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Angels	D	D	D
Boston Red Sox	B-	A-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+182+1.5 (-112)

BOS-223-1.5 (-108)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+180+1.5 (-110)

BOS-220-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.0Over -125Under +105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+180+1.5 (-114)

BOS-210-1.5 (-107)

Total 9.0Over -122Under +102

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+185+1.5 (-110)

BOS-225-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+192+1.5 (-110)

BOS-208-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+180+1.5 (-110)

BOS-220-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+180+1.5 (-113)

BOS-215-1.5 (-106)

Total 9.5Over +104Under -128

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+180+1.5 (-110)

BOS-225-1.5 (-110)

Total 9.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+175+1.5 (-115)

BOS-210-1.5 (-105)

Total 9.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Angels

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	@ BOS	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs NYY	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	vs NYY	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs NYY	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/30/26	vs PHI	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/29/26	vs PHI	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Red Sox

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	vs LAA	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	vs LAA	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ BAL	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ BAL	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ BAL	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 8
9/3/26	@ BAL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/2/26	vs SEA	L 3–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs SEA	L 6–9	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs SEA	W 9–8	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ NYY	L 1–16	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Angels and Red Sox
	Statistic
7.3 (7.7)	Hits	9.3 (8.3)
1.4 (1.4)	Doubles	2.0 (1.8)
0.9 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.0)
11.6 (12.4)	Total Bases	15.4 (13.5)
2.8 (2.9)	Walks	3.4 (3.2)
9.8 (9.7)	Strikeouts	7.9 (8.2)
0.6 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.8 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AngelsRyan JohnsonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over+10349.3%Under-13156.7%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%

Red SoxJake BennettConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+10449.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+18435.2%Under-25071.4%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36821.4%Under-56184.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39820.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
2Mike TroutCF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37721.0%Under-57885.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
3Jose SiriRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45218.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29574.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20967.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48682.9%
4Vaughn Grissom1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59485.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10249.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
5Christian MooreDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
6Kyren ParisLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
7Oswald Peraza2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55084.6%
8Denzer Guzman3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45081.8%
9Tyler HeinemanC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35422.0%Under-53884.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

1Roman AnthonyDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38779.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+17935.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-16462.1%Under+11945.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
2Mickey GasperC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-24871.3%Under+18335.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
3Wilyer AbreuRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Hits1.5Over+19434.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16161.7%
4Trevor StorySS
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46082.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+18834.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16462.1%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
5Nick Sogard1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48682.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-24370.8%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
6Caleb Durbin3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48582.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
7Jarren DuranLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49883.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28373.9%
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38120.8%Under-58585.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
9Nate EatonCF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40719.7%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33977.2%

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