MLB matchup

09/09/20267:05 PMYankee StadiumBronx, NY81°F · Cloudy

Rockies57 – 98vsYankees89 – 65

Sharp side

🏠 Yankees -251

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 9.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Rockies	3.3	26.0%
New York Yankees	5.8	74.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Colorado Rockies	F	D-	D-
New York Yankees	B	A-	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+203+1.5 (-102)

NYY-251-1.5 (-118)

Total 9.5Over -103Under -117

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+200+1.5 (-102)

NYY-250-1.5 (-118)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+210+1.5 (-107)

NYY-250-1.5 (-114)

Total 9.0Over -121Under +102

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+205+1.5 (+100)

NYY-250-1.5 (-120)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+216+1.5 (+100)

NYY-238-1.5 (-120)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+200+1.5 (+100)

NYY-245-1.5 (-120)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+200+1.5 (-105)

NYY-245-1.5 (-113)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -122

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+210+1.5 (-105)

NYY-260-1.5 (-115)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+200+1.5 (+100)

NYY-240-1.5 (-120)

Total 9.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Rockies

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	@ NYY	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs STL	L 8–10	L +1.5	O 11
9/5/26	vs STL	W 10–7	W +1.5	O 11
9/4/26	vs STL	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 11
9/2/26	vs BAL	W 6–5	W +1.5	U 11.5
9/1/26	vs BAL	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 11
8/31/26	vs BAL	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 11
8/30/26	@ ATL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/29/26	@ ATL	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/28/26	@ ATL	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Yankees

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	vs COL	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ SD	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/5/26	@ SD	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ SD	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7
9/2/26	@ LAA	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	@ LAA	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 7
8/31/26	@ LAA	L 1–10	L -1.5	O 8
8/30/26	vs BOS	W 16–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/29/26	vs BOS	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 7
8/29/26	vs BOS	L 0–6	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockies and Yankees
	Statistic
7.4 (8.4)	Hits	8.9 (7.9)
1.5 (1.7)	Doubles	1.6 (1.4)
0.8 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.6 (1.4)
11.7 (13.8)	Total Bases	15.7 (13.6)
2.8 (3.0)	Walks	4.0 (3.6)
9.3 (9.0)	Strikeouts	9.0 (9.4)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RockiesTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed3.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-12355.2%Under-10350.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

YankeesWill WarrenConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-15060.0%Under+11746.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%

Starting lineups

Colorado RockiesConfirmed

1Jake McCarthyCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake McCarthy+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37721.0%Under-57885.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25471.8%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45618.0%Under-73088.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44281.5%
2Cole CarriggSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Carrigg+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
3TJ Rumfield1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTJ Rumfield+16605.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36478.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
4Hunter GoodmanDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHunter Goodman+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41380.5%
5Mickey MoniakRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMickey Moniak+10009.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48682.9%
6Kyle Karros3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Karros+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
7Brett SullivanC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Sullivan+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48617.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41280.5%
8Connor Norby2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterConnor Norby+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56615.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43981.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37478.9%
9Zac VeenLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterZac Veen+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41280.5%

New York YankeesConfirmed

1Ben RiceDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Rice+59814.3%
Total Bases1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32523.5%Under-48883.0%
Total Hits1.5Over+17935.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-17864.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-182094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
2Cody BellingerLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Bellinger+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44581.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+20233.1%Under-27673.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
3Aaron JudgeRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterAaron Judge+61014.1%
Total Bases1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57585.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-25171.5%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-14959.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-168094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
4Luis Garcia Jr.1B
5Spencer JonesCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Jones+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
6George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Lombard Jr.+17405.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+14940.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46217.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
7Ryan McMahon3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRyan McMahon+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
8Austin WellsC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Wells+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23770.3%
9Jose Caballero2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Caballero+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33677.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+35621.9%Under-54084.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%

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