MLB matchup

09/09/20267:40 PMRate FieldChicago, IL80°F · Intermittent clouds

Pirates75 – 75vsWhite Sox76 – 73

Sharp side

✈️ Pirates +109

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.8	55.6%
Chicago White Sox	4.3	44.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B-	C+
Chicago White Sox	C	C-	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+109+1.5 (-181)

CHW-131-1.5 (+149)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+110+1.5 (-185)

CHW-135-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+116+1.5 (-195)

CHW-132-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -122Under +102

Caesars Sportsbook

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+105+1.5 (-178)

CHW-125-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+117+1.5 (-174)

CHW-127-1.5 (+153)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics Sportsbook

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+110+1.5 (-185)

CHW-130-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+112+1.5 (-176)

CHW-132-1.5 (+146)

Total 8.5Over -122Under +100

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+110+1.5 (-180)

CHW-135-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+115+1.5 (-180)

CHW-135-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–5–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	@ CHW	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs LAA	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	vs SF	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs SF	L 4–5	L -1.5	P 9
9/1/26	vs SF	W 13–12	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ STL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	@ STL	W 6–2	W +1.5	P 8
8/28/26	@ STL	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ HOU	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ HOU	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/31/26	@ HOU	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/30/26	@ MIN	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 9
8/29/26	@ MIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and White Sox
	Statistic
8.7 (8.6)	Hits	7.5 (7.8)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.1 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.3)
13.8 (13.6)	Total Bases	12.8 (13.3)
3.6 (3.5)	Walks	3.4 (3.5)
9.4 (9.4)	Strikeouts	9.2 (9.2)
0.8 (0.8)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesLake BacharConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Hits Allowed1.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%

Total Outs Recorded6.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over+12744.1%Under-16362.0%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%

White SoxDavis MartinConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11152.6%Under-11553.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

1Konnor GriffinSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKonnor Griffin+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57285.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-24971.3%Under+18435.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
2Brandon Lowe2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Lowe+72012.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
3Bryan ReynoldsLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBryan Reynolds+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
4Nick GonzalesDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Gonzales+24004.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
5Oneil CruzCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterOneil Cruz+84010.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
6Esmerlyn ValdezRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEsmerlyn Valdez+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
7Spencer Horwitz1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Horwitz+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52715.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
8Rafael Flores Jr.C
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRafael Flores Jr.+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
9Jacob Gonzalez3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Gonzalez+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57014.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36221.6%Under-55284.7%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam Antonacci2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSam Antonacci+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
2Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Benintendi+87010.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
3Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMunetaka Murakami+70012.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57514.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
4Randal GrichukLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRandal Grichuk+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58785.4%
5Colson Montgomery3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColson Montgomery+89010.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52715.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
6Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBraden Montgomery+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
7Tristan PetersCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTristan Peters+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
8Chase MeidrothSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36378.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
9Kyle TeelC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Teel+12607.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57214.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%

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