MLB matchup

09/09/20267:40 PMRate FieldChicago, IL80°F · Intermittent clouds

Pirates82 – 80vsWhite Sox84 – 78

Sharp side

✈️ Pirates +109

Model value

Model trendPittsburgh Pirates games: +5.35 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Pittsburgh Pirates went 7–1 (87.5%) this season, for an estimated profit of 5.35 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 9

Model value

Model trendChicago White Sox games: +11.14 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Chicago White Sox went 25–12 (67.6%) this season, for an estimated profit of 11.14 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.8	55.6%
Chicago White Sox	4.3	44.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B-	B-
Chicago White Sox	C+	C-	C

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Rate Field in Chicago

Pirates vs. White Sox Preview: Pitching Workload Shapes Chicago’s PriceChicago has the better record and home field, but Davis Martin’s second-half decline and Pittsburgh’s uncertain pitching workload complicate the moneyline.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+109+1.5 (-181)

CHW-131-1.5 (+149)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+110+1.5 (-185)

CHW-135-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+116+1.5 (-195)

CHW-132-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -122Under +102

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+105+1.5 (-178)

CHW-125-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+117+1.5 (-174)

CHW-127-1.5 (+153)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+110+1.5 (-185)

CHW-130-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+112+1.5 (-176)

CHW-132-1.5 (+146)

Total 8.5Over -122Under +100

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+110+1.5 (-180)

CHW-135-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PIT+115+1.5 (-180)

CHW-135-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun Line3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–5–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/8/26	@ CHW	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs LAA	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	vs SF	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs SF	L 4–5	L -1.5	P 9
9/1/26	vs SF	W 13–12	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ STL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	@ STL	W 6–2	W +1.5	P 8
8/28/26	@ STL	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun Line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ HOU	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ HOU	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/31/26	@ HOU	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/30/26	@ MIN	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 9
8/29/26	@ MIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and White Sox
	Statistic
8.7 (8.6)	Hits	7.5 (7.8)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.1 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.3)
13.8 (13.6)	Total Bases	12.8 (13.3)
3.6 (3.5)	Walks	3.4 (3.5)
9.4 (9.4)	Strikeouts	9.2 (9.2)
0.8 (0.8)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesLake BacharConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Hits Allowed1.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%

Total Outs Recorded6.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over+12744.1%Under-16362.0%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%

White SoxDavis MartinConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11152.6%Under-11553.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

1Konnor GriffinSS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57285.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-24971.3%Under+18435.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
2Brandon Lowe2B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
3Bryan ReynoldsLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
4Nick GonzalesDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
5Oneil CruzCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
6Esmerlyn ValdezRF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
7Spencer Horwitz1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52715.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
8Rafael Flores Jr.C
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
9Jacob Gonzalez3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57014.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36221.6%Under-55284.7%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam Antonacci2B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
2Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
3Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57514.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
4Randal GrichukLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58785.4%
5Colson Montgomery3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52715.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
6Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
7Tristan PetersCF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
8Chase MeidrothSS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36378.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
9Kyle TeelC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57214.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%

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